Final Best Picture deliberations

If the Best Picture choice of the majority is going to be/has been about selecting the film with the most accessible emotional current (i.e., one that fulfills and satisfies by affirming some commonly-shared realization about life as Academy members know it), then Little Miss Sunshine is going to win the Best Picture Oscar tonight. "If," I say...

We all know that the statistics are against it with Jonathan Dayton and Valerie Faris not having been nominated for Best Director and the film also not receiving a Best Editing nomination. I don't know how to calculate this...nobody knows. At the very least tonight's Oscar show is going to be the best in many years because of the Best Picture headscratcher factor. It's a real cliffhanger and a puzzler.

Repeating the basics: my personal preference is for The Departed to win because it throttled me in a richer, artier and more dazzling way than any other film. But I'd be perfectly delighted if Little Miss Sunshine takes it because it resonates thematically, it understands itself perfectly, and scene-for-scene and line-for-line it shoots one bulls-eye after another (except for the motorcycle cop-and-the porn magazine bit and the deux ex machina of the ex-boyfriend at the gas station).

One thing for sure (I think, I suspect...maybe) is that I was probably wrong in predicting Babel to win Best Picture. It's almost definitely going to be The Departed or Little Miss Sunshine, and I have to make a final, final call within the next few hours.

Posted by Jeffrey Wells on February 25, 2007 at 10:33 AM

comment #1

jse33 Author Profile Page says ...

My reactions for the big prize:

ECSTATIC: They announce The Departed for Picture

EXTREMELY PISSED: They announce Little Miss Sunshine for Picture

NOT SHOCKED: They announce Babel for Picture.

Babel has a couple of things going for it. It has the most nominations of the 5 and has an Editing nomination. Plus, it's not really made too much noise with the other award shows, so this could be another year where the Academy doesn't want to fall in line with everyone else.

Posted by jse33 Author Profile Page at February 25, 2007 11:01 AM

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