The Last Great Hope of the 2007 Oscar season is Denzel Washington's The Great Debaters, which isn't saying much. "Hope" doesn't mean zip in this context. No one has seen the Weinstein Co. release (the first screening happens on Tuesday, 11.20) and there are concerns that Debaters' inspirational story might be (a) a little too familiar and (b) take a little too long to unfold. But Washington's a focused and confident director and I've been told the film works very nicely, so let's see.

I'm saying this because the other presumed award-level contenders -- Charlie Wilson's War, Sweeney Todd and The Bucket List -- are looking hazy as Best Picture contenders.
The word all along has been that Sweeney may be trippy or rousing or even euphoric on its own terms, but it's too Burton-ish and purple-arterial for the Academy.
I've read the script of The Bucket List, and it suggests that Rob Reiner's film will be fine -- it has an assured feeling for character comedy and offers a certain tidiness, wholesomeness and old-guy wisdom. (Of course, tidiness can be a hindrance in itself.) It's no secret that director Reiner, nice guy and Hillary Clinton Democrat that he is, has been off his game since the mid '90s, and I don't see any great Bucket surge in the offing.
What happened to Charlie Wilson's War, you ask? Nothing. It'll begin screening later this month and then we'll know what's what. It's just that (I can't ignore this) a negative CWW comment popped up earlier this evening from a certain blogger who has since taken the comment down. How's that for a solid piece of information?
I'm not simple-minded enough to presume that this opinion is necessarily related to Universal's decision not to stage a traditional bells-and-whistles CWW junket, which is at least partly due to a reluctance (or an inability) on the part of director Mike Nichols and the cast to assemble in Los Angeles for more than one day (Friday, 11.30). They had to know that at least some eyebrows would be raised about this. And we all know how this plus the withdrawn negative item is going to spread over the next 48 to 72 hours.
All this crap tells us nothing concrete. Certainly nothing I'd care to put into words, but I am starting to suspect (in faint little hair-on-the-back-of-the-neck ways) that Charlie Wilson's War, sharp and entertaining as it might be, isn't this year's Million Dollar Baby. The combination of these two items plus Julia Roberts' neo-Texas accent won't support it.
Posted by Jeffrey Wells on November 16, 2007 at 9:30 PM
comment #1
scooterzz
says ...
here's the real prob with 'charlie wilson's war'...the talent is (for whatever reason) not doing a junket...there aren't many talk shows right now...even though this isn't a war movie, the subject matter will be perceived as such and, finally, it actually has the word 'WAR' in the title....this thing looks 'fucked' from the get-go and could be the victim of hanks/roberts/nichols hubris....
Posted by scooterzz
at November 16, 2007 11:22 PM
comment #2
BurmaShave
says ...
Plus it has the word CHARLIE in it which will spook Vietnam vets, and the word WILSON which will assosciate it with Owen and turn off People Magazine readers and suicide survivors. Fucked!
Posted by BurmaShave
at November 16, 2007 11:29 PM
comment #3
gruver1
says ...
Wells to Burma Shave: You're a funny guy. You know, the way you tell the story and everything ..what?
Posted by gruver1
at November 16, 2007 11:37 PM
comment #4
John Y
says ...
I don't think you should count "Sweeny" or "Charlie Wilson's War" out just yet...
Posted by John Y
at November 17, 2007 1:19 AM
comment #5
bmcintire
says ...
I like Denzel, and I am curious to see what he does as a director - but this? Jesus. I know this one may be more culturally significant (on a merely time-line based criteria) but after LEAN ON ME, DANGEROUS MINDS, CHEATERS, STAND AND DELIVER, ad nauseum - does anyone really need another one of these? I see this one fading into obscurity, and hopefully (as an actor, at the least) it will make him think twice about re-approaching the clench-jawed hero/humanitarian role. But probably not.
Posted by bmcintire
at November 17, 2007 2:27 AM
comment #6
MAGGA
says ...
Ok, that is it, I will stop paying any attention to the stupid Oscars from now on (yeah right). If the films mentioned are the contenders in a year that has given us Jesse James, Zodiac and Inland Empire (and maybe Blood and Old Men later), then these people are actively trying to regress the artform. Screw them
Posted by MAGGA
at November 17, 2007 3:53 AM
comment #7
Reedyb
says ...
I thought it was Wilson's War, a Tom Hanks Castaway sequel wherein a soccer ball becomes a terrorist and must be stopped.
My prediction for Best Pic (as if you care)? The Kite Runner. It's got the right elements for this year.
Posted by Reedyb
at November 17, 2007 6:58 AM
comment #8
ScottMendelson
says ...
"I see this one fading into obscurity, and hopefully (as an actor, at the least) it will make him think twice about re-approaching the clench-jawed hero/humanitarian role. But probably not."
According to EW, Washington didn't want to act in this one, but the financiers made that a stipulation of funding the picture. For what it's worth...
Scott Mendelson
Posted by ScottMendelson
at November 17, 2007 7:09 AM
comment #9
Discman
says ...
I watched the first 40 minutes of "Zodiac" last night -- a second viewing that confirmed everythign I've felt since the first viewing many months ago: It's easily the year's best film.
I can think of several others that might round out the list of potential Best Picture nominees without having seen the upcoming "heavyweights," none of which I expect to be all that great, although I'm holding out hope for Burton's film.
Posted by Discman
at November 17, 2007 7:51 AM
comment #10
benny
says ...
Stop saying "no one has seen" when referring to Sweeney or CWW or The Great Debaters. Plenty of people, including some journalists, have seen these movies at this point. I'm one of them. And I can tell you that: 1) Sweeney is well-made, will be a hit, and an Oscar contender, though won't win Best Picture; 2) CWW is very entertaining, though, again, not a Best Picture winner; and 3) The Great Debaters is a quality-filled, way-too-uplifting period piece that on TV would be a big hit but as a feature is a little embarassing.
Posted by benny
at November 17, 2007 8:32 AM
comment #11
Edward Havens
says ...
Do we dare tell MAGGA that Inland Empire came out last year and is therefore ineligible for this year's awards, or is this just another arbitrary Academy rule that shows how out to touch they are with the world?
Posted by Edward Havens
at November 17, 2007 8:42 AM
comment #12
gr81lives
says ...
Charlie Wilson's War is going to be horrible! They had been in re shoots as of a month ago or so.
They aren't even doing a junket for it. Come on! Wake up this movie is going to bomb!
All recent war movies have bombed going back to last year. This movie needs all the help it can get and when the talent won't even support it the movie has a major problem.
Also rumor has it TOM HANKS will not do press junkets anymore... What a fool. He is in the land of Julia Roberts now. She can't stand doing press for a movie and the press can't stand her anymore.
Could this be another Bonfire of the Vanities for Tom Hanks???
As for Sweeney Todd. Paramount Pictures will find away to screw this up with awards they always do. Ask Dreamworks how they ran the Oscar Campaign for Dreamgirls.
Posted by gr81lives
at November 17, 2007 9:18 AM
comment #13
Zimmergirl
says ...
I wouldn't hang an entire movie on what anyone says. We all have to work hard in trying to remove this attitude of "if it's not an Oscar movie it is therefore worthless." I am as guilty as anyone at this but just because a movie isn't going to get a best picture nod doesn't mean people shouldn't anticipate seeing it. I can't wait to see CWW and I don't personally care if it's "in" or not.
My top ten, top twenty, top hundred films of all time - I could count on one hand those that were Academy movies and even fewer best pic winners. So whatever.
In my mind, the locks are Atonement, No Country. the latter will be one of my favorite films of all time. The other three, I could see: Michael Clayton, Into the Wild, the Kite Runner -- the maybes to me are still: American Gangster, Charlie Wilson's, Sweeney, Juno.
Other than No Country, the best film I've seen this year is Todd Haynes' I'm Not There. But then again, I ain't Zimmergirl for nothin'.
Posted by Zimmergirl
at November 17, 2007 10:01 AM
comment #14
LuckyWilbury
says ...
I knew that "Zimmergirl" was a Dylan reference...
Posted by LuckyWilbury
at November 17, 2007 10:45 AM
comment #15
Zimmergirl
says ...
I wish I was a lucky Wilbury. :-)
http://www.eilatgordinlevitan.com/kurenets/k_pages/zimmerman.html
But I'm not there, I'm gone.
Posted by Zimmergirl
at November 17, 2007 11:19 AM
comment #16
BurmaShave
says ...
"They had been in re shoots as of a month ago or so."
That's already been de-bunked.
"Could this be another Bonfire of the Vanities for Tom Hanks???"
Not likely, not to mention Hanks himself never really caught much flack for that debacle. It hurt DePalma, who ironically has finally destroyed his career this year.
Posted by BurmaShave
at November 17, 2007 12:05 PM
comment #17
gr81lives
says ...
BurmaShave you have to admit not doing any press for Charlie Wilson's War is BS.
I don't think it's Universal not wanting to do press. If it was up to the studio they would have the cast and director going door to door.
Not many would be sad or surprised to Charlie Wilson's War flop.
Posted by gr81lives
at November 17, 2007 2:11 PM
comment #18
lawnorder
says ...
There's nothing wrong with doing reshoots on a film. Most of the time, they're more in line with pick-ups - shots that the director wasn't able to get during production and needs them to fill in the story. Sometimes, and it happens on the day, the scene just doesn't come together - but you've got to move on. So they try to make it work in the editing room and if/when it doesn't, they decide to shoot it again. Filmmaking is an ongoing process and most filmmakers won't stop tweaking a film until the moment it's ripped from their hands. What counts is what gets up on the screen. Last minute reshoots have always happened in this business, but there wasn't the internet to report about it around the clock. We all want perfection, but we won't give filmmakers the time to get there. Instead we jump on websites and report about films in progress when the filmmakers are still trying to find the best film inside the film they've made. We're not supposed to see the painting until the artist unveils it. Everyone in this town says, let me see your rough cut, I know how to watch a rough cut. But nobody can really - because a great sound mix, a beautiful original score, a killer digital intermediate, looping, the right visual effects and CGI clean-up -- all those things up the quality of a film by at least 50 percent.
Posted by lawnorder
at November 17, 2007 2:58 PM
comment #19
JaySmack
says ...
They shot that film down here in Louisiana, so I'm pumped to see it. And bmcintire can STFU. This is not some "white teacher coming to save the 'troubled black youth," movie that we've seen so many times. This is a story about blacks who won't conform to stereotype and in fact will beat whties at their own game. Which is probably what has wrankled bc's nerves.
Try to throw cold water on it all you want, it won't mean sh*t.
This story is not some rehash of the white "savior" fantasy that Hollywood tries to shove down our collective throats, and which blacks have categoriaclly rejected and excoriated. A myth that has only borne any success in the world of movies. This is a real story. Deal with it.
Posted by JaySmack
at November 17, 2007 5:59 PM
comment #20
Zimmergirl
says ...
"We all want perfection, but we won't give filmmakers the time to get there."
Brilliant.
And you tell 'em, JaySmack.
Posted by Zimmergirl
at November 17, 2007 6:02 PM
comment #21
pteranodon
says ...
"The Great Debaters" is based on true events but is not a "real story". In the real case, Wiley College debated USC for the national championship, not Harvard, and Wiley lost that debate.
Typical of this type of "real story", there is a father who does not support his child's involvement and the team faces discriminatory obstacles from other competitors (see "Cool Running" or "Race the Sun" for other examples).
Only one of the original debaters (Farmer) is represented in name (what about Heights and Jarrett?), and, since Wiley was a men-only college, there were no women on the team. Instead of the real debate topics, I expect we will be presented with groundbreaking civil rights arguments instead.
Another point that probably will not make the movie is that Tolson wrote all of the debate speeches and rebutals and his team memorized them.
I dislike this type of "based on a true story" movie because the real story is just as compelling (perhaps more so) and the real people involved should get their day in the sun. For example, "Race the Sun" had a black female science teacher inspiring a class of mixed race misfits. In reality, a white male Physics teacher inspired a class of mostly white Advanced Placement Physics students. Thus, ALL of the names and bio's of the real participants were scrapped in favor of fictional characters.
So, is "The Great Debaters" a real story? Well, there is a place called Wiley College that did have a debate team that competed in the national championship in 1935; the coach's name was Melvin Tolson; one of the debaters was named James Farmer. The rest is fiction.
Posted by pteranodon
at December 12, 2007 4:25 PM