comment #1

Jay T. says ...

You said Hillary Clinton was toast too, so don't be so sure...

comment #2

Jimmycrackcorn says ...

There's an obvious reason why EW had to tout the chances of "Atonement" right now. Look at what is on the cover. It would have looked strange to have a shot of the two stars fronting an Oscar predictions package, and then say the movie is really out of the running.

comment #3

Griff says ...

Finally saw "Atonement" last night. A powerful, sad, compelling film. Best picture? Dunno, since I've avoided the other suspects (NCFOM and TWBB). But the showing we attended was sold out.

comment #4

John Y says ...

You do realize that Karger probably had to turn in his predictions over a week ago, before we knew about all the "Atonement" guild snubs.

comment #5

Craptastic says ...

I can't watch anything that features Knightly. She speaks like she's wearing a mouth guard. Drives me nuts.

comment #6

Dirty Harry says ...

Knightley is a dreadful actress. Nothing believable in the eyes. Her eyes are either vacant, darting to express limited intelligence, or looking like she wants to look like she's restraining passion. Ick.

comment #7

WinslowLeachtheComposer says ...

Your ex saw it what I like to call "objectively", not while caught up in the excitement of hype and ballyhoo that accompanied its initial unveiling. She saw that there's no there there. (So there.) It's a mechanically-engineered illustrated version of a deftly wrought literary work, rather than an overblown version of an overrated book (English Patient)(Oscar loves those). The film is superfluous.

comment #8

Crimzon says ...

Karger acknowledges the DGA snub when predicting Wright for director.

comment #9

JHRussell says ...

I don't think it has a very good chance, but I think that there are currently only 2 "locks" for a nom right now - NCFOM and Juno - with Michael Clayton probably in - and then there are about 4 or 5 films vying for the last 2 spots - Into the Wild, TWBB, Diving Bell, and then possibly Atonement, or maybe even Sweeney Todd...so a nomination is not out of the question...

comment #10

Kristopher Tapley says ...

It has everything to do with Karger having a long lead for this piece. Big problem, if you ask me.

comment #11

Bart Smith says ...

With the preferential voting system that determines nominees and the large British contingent of the Academy, I'm not ready to call ATONEMENT dead just yet.

And with the preferential voting system, I could really see THERE WILL BE BLOOD not getting nominated because so many voters rank it second on their ballot behind NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN, which would mean that vote for BLOOD never gets counted.

comment #12

ben151 says ...

The split among viewers is something I've experienced personally. I loved it, the two others I saw it with were unmoved. I recommended it to people, half of them disliked it, half were with it. I only know a handful of WGA members, and half liked it. You'd think it was a David Lynch movie. I'd be thrilled if preferential voting got Atonement somewhere, but then I'd have been thrilled if Naomi Watts got nominated for anything for Eastern Promises. On related perception front, Friday saw There Will Be Blood a second time, per this site's rec., and I still really liked it. DDL is borderline camp at some points (Faye Dunaway in Mommie Dearest level) but his camp didn't bother me at all the second time. Still, this was a Friday show in San Francisco and people were laughing and hooting through a lot of it. The theater, a large one, was maybe half full. Cut to, walking home on the Upper East Side this afternoon, past the UA theater at 85th St. and 1st Avenue, and there was a long line outside the theater showing Juno. An all ages crowd. All races, as well. Juno's gonna fight for Best Picture!

comment #13

Thrudvangar says ...

Atonement should be nominated. Praise Keira for not getting implants.

I don't talk to my exes.

comment #14

Nick J says ...

just won best picture at the golden globes...whoops...

comment #15

christian says ...

Jeff's predictions are almost as accurate as Criswell...

comment #16

Dirty Harry says ...

She's your ex and she didn't like ATONEMENT. Can't question her good judgement.

Za-ing!

comment #17

Crimzon says ...

Keira's alot smarter than people give her credit for. I was dumbfounded when i read her recent NY Times interview. Sorry, but i just never expected a 22-year-old Hollywood starlet to start raving on about Marlon Brando and the camerawork in "On the Waterfront" as well as other classics.

She's turning into a right old movie buff. Wright has taught her very well, indeed.

comment #18

Hal says ...

I like Keira's acting a lot, but honestly! That interview reads as if was conducted by a 15-year-old.

And Keira states the bleeding obvious about the cab scene and also "apologises" for apparently speaking passionately about classic movies, as if it is an interest held by the likes of Seymour in Ghost, hated by 99% of humanity. Please!

Praising Brando - the most influential American actor of the sound era - in the most iconic scene of his career is not indicative of being "smart", nor of particularly refined cinematic knowledge. Even for 22-year-old starlets. On the Waterfront is not an obscure classic in anyone's book.

comment #19

Crimzon says ...

I dunno. I just read her as one of those ditzy Bilson/Hilton/Lohan types except less wild antics. My prejudice, i know.

Mostly surprised at her level of professionalism to her job. Though probably more of a student, than anything, i suppose. When she talks about the acting/dialect style of Celia Johnson, it just surprises me. Did not expect that from her.