Chait's "Go Already!"
Jonathan Chait's 3.6.08 New Republic piece, "Go Already! -- Hillary Clinton, fratricidal maniac" -- begins with a reasonable judgment that "Clinton's path to the nomination is pretty repulsive. She isn't going to win at the polls. Barack Obama has a lead of 144 pledged delegates. That may not sound like a lot in a 4,000-delegate race, but it is. Clinton's Ohio win reduced that total by only nine. She would need 15 more Ohios to pull even with Obama. She isn't going to do much to dent, let alone eliminate, his lead.
"That means, as we all have grown tired of hearing, that she would need to win with superdelegates. But, with most superdelegates already committed, Clinton would need to capture the remaining ones by a margin of better than two to one. And superdelegates are going to be extremely reluctant to overturn an elected delegate lead the size of Obama's. The only way to lessen that reluctance would be to destroy Obama's general election viability, so that superdelegates had no choice but to hand the nomination to her. Hence her flurry of attacks, her oddly qualified response as to whether Obama is a Muslim ('not as far as I know'), her repeated suggestions that John McCain is more qualified."
Posted by Jeffrey Wells on March 7, 2008 at 4:54 PM
comment #1
christian
says ...
And the same liberal prophets all said McCain was toast last year so he shuld just bail. Nobody's dropping out of a race this close. Give it up.
Posted by christian
at March 7, 2008 5:13 PM
comment #2
D.Z.
says ...
christian: He is toast. This is as good as it gets for him.
Posted by D.Z.
at March 7, 2008 6:14 PM
comment #3
le corbeau
says ...
Dukakis by 17, D.Z.!
Posted by le corbeau
at March 7, 2008 7:25 PM
comment #4
rocco
says ...
If you're so confident Obama has it in the bag STOP making it seem like you are desperately trying to convince yourself.
Posted by rocco
at March 7, 2008 8:47 PM
comment #5
D.Z.
says ...
Mgmax: Dukakis didn't have as much anti-Republican sentiment in his favor as Obama or Clinton. At this point, there's no chance in hell the GOP will win, unless they cheat(again).
Posted by D.Z.
at March 7, 2008 9:38 PM
comment #6
le corbeau
says ...
Obama and Clinton may not have as much anti-Republican sentiment in their favor as hyperpartisans like you imagine, that's the point, D.Z.
"At this point, there's no chance in hell the GOP will win"
This may very well be amusing to return to in eight months.
Posted by le corbeau
at March 7, 2008 10:03 PM
comment #7
D.Z.
says ...
Mgmax: "Obama and Clinton may not have as much anti-Republican sentiment in their favor as hyperpartisans like you imagine,"
They have enough to win.
"This may very well be amusing to return to in eight months."
I'm sure you felt that way in November 2006, too.
Posted by D.Z.
at March 7, 2008 10:06 PM
comment #8
le corbeau
says ...
Pelosi and Reid were amusing within days, yes.
Posted by le corbeau
at March 7, 2008 10:08 PM
comment #9
D.Z.
says ...
McCain's downright hilarious, though. http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080308/ap_on_el_pr/mccain_air_force_tankers;_ylt=AuslGEv2SiNTvZ.Q_zw9G1ms0NUE
Posted by D.Z.
at March 8, 2008 1:29 AM