June 12
Call of the Wild 3D
Youssou N'Dour: I Bring What I Love
June 16
June 19
Dead Snow
Whatever Works
June 24
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
June 26
Cheri
Fireflies in the Garden
July 1
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
July 3
The Girl from Monaco
I Hate Valentine's Day
July 10
July 15
Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
July 17
July 24
All Good Things
The Answer Man
In the Loop
July 29
July 31
The Cove
August 7
When in Rome
August 14
A Perfect Getaway
District 9
The Goods: The Don Ready Story
Ponyo
Pool Boys
Spread
The Time Traveler's Wife
August 21
Five Minutes of Heaven
Goose on the Loose!
It Might Get Loud
World's Greatest Dad
August 28
The Boat that Rocked
September 4
Amreeka
Carriers
Citizen Game
Shanghai
September 9
September 11
The Red Canvas
Tyler Perrys: I Can Do It All Myself
September 17
The Burning Plain
September 18
Brand New Day
Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs
Jennifer's Body
Splice
September 25
October 2
A Serious Man
Toy Story/Toy Story 2
The new Times/Bloomberg poll, released an hour and three quarters ago, says Barack Obama is currently holding a 12-point lead over John McCain, 49% to 37%. Throw in Ralph Nader and Bob Barr and Obama holds 15-point edge. That 15 point lead Obama had in the recent Newsweek poll seems less eccentric now. Whites are evenly split between the two -- 39% and 39%. 11% of former Clinton supporters (bitter) have gone over to McCain's side.
Posted by Jeffrey Wells on June 24, 2008 at 3:45 PM
comment #1
D.Z.
says ...
Replace Nader with Ron Paul, and I'll agree. But Obama winning because of Perot-like competition isn't going to seem that impressive, unless he can seal the 2012 election the way Clinton did in '96.
Posted by D.Z.
at June 24, 2008 4:05 PM
comment #2
D.Z.
says ...
Well, actually, now that I think about it, the result would be more of a slap in the face of the Republicans, since they'd be losing to themselves, and not just some random Independent.
Posted by D.Z.
at June 24, 2008 4:15 PM
comment #3
SaveFarris
says ...
Both this and the Newsweek poll use the registered voters metric instead of the much more reliable likely voters.
Posted by SaveFarris
at June 24, 2008 4:32 PM
comment #4
D.Z.
says ...
I doubt it's a huge difference for likely voters, especially since prices keep going up.
Posted by D.Z.
at June 24, 2008 4:54 PM
comment #5
D.Z.
says ...
Affirmative action, Republican style? http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080624/ap_on_go_ca_st_pe/justice_inquiry_hiring
Posted by D.Z.
at June 24, 2008 5:38 PM
comment #6
BurmaShave
says ...
Yes DZ, I agree Obama won't be a two term President until he wins in 2012.
Posted by BurmaShave
at June 24, 2008 6:59 PM
comment #7
jc
says ...
Hey D.Z.
Does getting 49% of the vote in 1996 constitute "sealing the deal"?
http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe1996/summ.htm
Perot ran twice, Clinton never got 50% of the popular vote.
Posted by jc
at June 24, 2008 7:51 PM
comment #8
D.Z.
says ...
jc: Well, if Perot hadn't run, it probably would have been a landslide for Clinton. That might not necessarily have been the case in '92, though. But if you're going to be technical, the vote wasn't "popular" anyway, since it was a low turn-out that year; and what Clinton really won was the majority of the people who showed up for that election.
Posted by D.Z.
at June 24, 2008 8:25 PM
comment #9
Rich S.
says ...
Then again...
http://www.gallup.com/poll/108376/Gallup-Daily-Obama-McCain-Tied-45.aspx
Posted by Rich S.
at June 25, 2008 1:29 PM
comment #10
bb
says ...
Polls tell you what people think people think. Don't think that means much.
Posted by bb
at June 25, 2008 1:39 PM
comment #11
martindale
says ...
Gallup shows the race tied, and rasmussen shows a slim lead for Obama.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html
Posted by martindale
at June 26, 2008 1:03 PM
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