Ohio Is It
A 10.5 Columbus Dispatch poll of 2262 likely Ohio voters favors Obama over McCain by 49-42. The poll covers 9.24 to 10.2, doesn't reflect the Biden-Palin debate effect, and has a two-point margin of error. And the N.Y. Times is calling Ohio a toss-up state? I'd at least call it a "leaning Obama" light blue state...no?
"Falling far behind in Ohio is a nightmare scenario for McCain," the New Republic's Michael Crowley wrote today. "He almost surely can't win without it. And remember, absentee early voting has already started there. Obama's support among African-Americans in Ohio: 94-2.
"Update: I had thought this was Obama's best showing in Ohio, but I forgot that (a) Quinnipiac showed him +8 here last week and (b) the Real Clear Politics spread is Obama +3."
Posted by Jeffrey Wells on October 5, 2008 at 11:27 AM
comment #1
The Winchester
says ...
Gee, isn't Ohio where Bush stole the last election?
Posted by The Winchester
at October 5, 2008 12:29 PM
comment #2
frankbooth
says ...
If so, the guy responsible (Blackwell) is gone.
http://www.bradblog.com/?p=5508
It's never the same state twice, anyway. More of a Thing-like constant mutation of tactics. Burn a tentacle here, another pops out over there...
Posted by frankbooth
at October 5, 2008 1:06 PM
comment #3
George Prager
says ...
MJ: You not only have had combat experience in Vietnam, but you were also a prisoner of war. When you look at terrorism right now, with people like Osama bin Laden, do you have any reservations about watching strikes like that?
John McCain: You could say, Look, is this guy, Laden, really the bad guy that's depicted? Most of us have never heard of him before.
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/222053.php
Posted by George Prager
at October 5, 2008 1:11 PM
comment #4
va
says ...
Jeff ---- that margin is too small to be comfortable - too many lazy in-state college students, plus the people who tells pollsters they're voting for Obama for sure, then they break into a cold sweat on 11/4 voting for the black guy - it's a crappy thing to consider, but it must be acknowledged that it may and will happen in some states, especially states such as Ohio, PA, and FL. Which are all electoral rich states, by the way.
Posted by va
at October 5, 2008 1:40 PM
comment #5
Deathtongue_Groupie
says ...
Someone should ask Hilary Clinton how much that Bradley effect helped her out...
Posted by Deathtongue_Groupie
at October 5, 2008 3:03 PM
comment #6
Griff
says ...
We need to get busy pointing out the voter fraud in Ohio.
http://www.hyscience.com/archives/2008/10/ohio_vote_fraud.php
Oh, my bad. Sorry, I forgot that voter fraud is only an issue when we believe it was committed by the e-vile Republicans.
Disregard.
But, in movie news, I've got "Things We Lost in the Fire" in my Netflix queue, based on Jeff's recommendation. I'm looking forward to it.
Posted by Griff
at October 5, 2008 4:33 PM
comment #7
D.Z.
says ...
Griff: Being lax before voting day is not the same as fraud.
"This video, also via The Next Right, shows interviews with people who are voting in Franklin County, where Republican election monitors are not being allowed into polling places"
They're not, by law, supposed to be allowed into polling places, unless they're non-partisan.
"It's a perfect opportunity for them to come in, register at a temporary address like a homeless shelter or a YMCA or something like that."
Yes, because the homeless don't have the same rights as the rest of us, which is why Republicans are trying to purge the people with foreclosed houses off the list.
Posted by D.Z.
at October 5, 2008 8:50 PM