The Next Shoe
Electoral Vote projects Obama over McCain, 343 to 184 electoral votes (and 11 unaccounted for). Yahoo's Dashboard foresees Obama taking 330 to MCain's 175. And fivethirtyeight is estimating 384.3 to 189.7, Obama again favored. Without a new Great Depression Obama would have won by a smaller margin, but he would have taken it. 24 days to go and the question everyone's asking is whether a game-changing shoe will drop and tighten things up. I'm 95% sure nothing jarring will happen during the final debate. If it's anything it'll be a big move in -- or from -- forces in the Middle East. Israel bombing Iran?
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Posted by Jeffrey Wells on October 11, 2008 at 12:11 PM
comment #1
joncro
says ...
What if these AK corruption revelations mean that McCain has an excuse to fire Palin and find a real VP candidate?
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/oct/11/sarahpalin-troopergate
Posted by joncro
at October 11, 2008 12:41 PM
comment #2
iamwhoiam
says ...
Bin Laden tape, or terror attack, god forbid. Brrrrr.
Posted by iamwhoiam
at October 11, 2008 12:44 PM
comment #3
Deathtongue_Groupie
says ...
joncro - it's too late for that, it would come across for what it is to too many independents: a desperate Hail Mary pass in the forth quarter with the home team down by 11 and needing a second miracle to get those last 4 points to win (there are no over-times in elections).
I thought he might do just this a few weeks ago and throw in Huckabee, but he waited too late. At this point it would only make him look weaker.
Posted by Deathtongue_Groupie
at October 11, 2008 1:08 PM
comment #4
joncro
says ...
Actually I agree Deathtongue, I was just wondering if it might happen...
Posted by joncro
at October 11, 2008 1:23 PM
comment #5
ROTC
says ...
I may be incorrect about this, but I don't believe McCain could outright fire Palin at this point even if he wanted to. Palin was elected to be the VP candidate by the Republican Party at its convention, so from a technical legal standpoint I doubt it's completely in McCain's hands anymore. I assume the most McCain could do would be to request/pressure Palin to resign.
That's just my gut assumption, though. I haven't researched it and certainly could be entirely wrong.
Posted by ROTC
at October 11, 2008 1:30 PM
comment #6
Krazy Eyes
says ...
I think from a strategic perspective Palin would have to resign even if McCain could fire her. He's already got a reputation of being erratic and this would just drive the point home.
I also agree that it's *far* too late for such a desperate measure. I honestly thought they might hae gone this route a few weeks ago but as they said in that clip above, Palin seem to be missing that gene that makes people feel embarrased.
Posted by Krazy Eyes
at October 11, 2008 2:01 PM
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