Youth in Revolt
January 15
January 22
Drool
The Girl on the Train
"Another eerie sign came this weekend when three, count 'em, three (older) academy voters whose opinions I respect all said the exact same thing to me at different times. They weren't voting for Slumdog Millionaire because 'it's just not an Oscar picture.' I thought it was very strange that I would suddenly be hearing virtually the same kind of reasoning out of the mouths of three different academy members, but there it was. All of them, by the way, had cast their Best Picture vote for Benjamin Button." -- from Pete Hammond's latest Envelope column, the headline of which says "Signs Point To Big Oscar Upsets." Bullshit.
Posted by Jeffrey Wells on February 18, 2009 at 9:12 AM
comment #1
the400blows
says ...
It's amazing what some people will do to get people to watch the Oscars.
Posted by the400blows
at February 18, 2009 9:36 AM
comment #2
actionman
says ...
I'd love to see Button take best pic but it's not gonna happen
Posted by actionman
at February 18, 2009 9:43 AM
comment #3
DeafBrownTrashPunk
says ...
Well, everyone was shocked by CRASH winning Best Picture. It could happen.
I'm rooting for Slumdog to sweep the Oscars.
Posted by DeafBrownTrashPunk
at February 18, 2009 9:58 AM
comment #4
DavidF
says ...
There's always a few shocks and people forget that every year.
I really liked Slumdog but I CANNOT imagine this thing taking 5+ Oscars, including Best Picture. It's just not that good - I agree with the "It's not an Oscar picture" comment. It's a wonderful, well-told story but there's no other level to it at all.
Right now it seems to be in line for pic, direct, screenplay, song, score, maybe cinematography...
I felt a bit the same about Shakespeare in Love which I REALLY liked but never saw in the same league as Saving Pritave Ryan.
My private hope for an upset is Button takes Best Pic while Boyle gets director and Slumdog gets screenplay. I can live with that as a reasonable compromise.
Posted by DavidF
at February 18, 2009 10:08 AM
comment #5
JHR
says ...
Reminds me of the JUNO "surge" predictions last year...if the unthinkable happens and Slumdog were to lose, I don't see any way in hell that it goes to Ben Buttons...of the 5 nominated films, Buttons has to be dead last...
Posted by JHR
at February 18, 2009 10:08 AM
comment #6
Ryansi51
says ...
Benjamin BUTTON is singular.
13 NOMINATIONS is plural.
Posted by Ryansi51
at February 18, 2009 10:21 AM
comment #7
JHR
says ...
"Benjamin BUTTON is singular...13 NOMINATIONS is plural."
What is zero for 13? The greatest skunking of all time?
Posted by JHR
at February 18, 2009 10:25 AM
comment #8
Howlingman
says ...
"it's just not an Oscar picture.'"
Why? Too many brown people?
Posted by Howlingman
at February 18, 2009 10:31 AM
comment #9
lazarus
says ...
I just still can't picture older people voting for something with "slum" in the title to represent the Oscars for eternity. It's a rather ugly name; no other BP winner that I can think of conjures up such a slangy, unpleasant image.
Posted by lazarus
at February 18, 2009 10:48 AM
comment #10
CitizenKanedforChewingGum
says ...
"What is zero for 13? The greatest skunking of all time?"
It's going to be picking up a decent amount of tech. awards (at least the ones TDK doesn't garner), and it's got a legitimate shot at an upset in Best Supporting Actress.
"I don't see any way in hell that it goes to Ben Buttons...of the 5 nominated films, Buttons has to be dead last..."
The Reader.
Posted by CitizenKanedforChewingGum
at February 18, 2009 11:19 AM
comment #11
lazarus
says ...
Frost/Nixon was probably a film that many respected enough to nominated, but didn't love it enough to give it a win.
Benjamin Button may be more divisive, but it probably has more loyal fans.
Posted by lazarus
at February 18, 2009 11:22 AM
comment #12
clancy
says ...
Question for jeff:
Winslet is going to win. But if the Rosenbaum and Lurie and other hate pieces had come out three weeks ago - making the Jewish members feel like idiots for supporting it in the first place - she'd end up in last place. At least that is what members I have interviewed have told me. What is your take on this, Jeff? It seems like a pretty important topic
The older members hate "The Wrestler" and love "Milk". We'll see. That is why that category is up in the air.
Posted by clancy
at February 18, 2009 11:42 AM
comment #13
Floyd Thursby
says ...
What's the record for most films nominated for best picture without winning any Oscars? I can easily see any of the nominees except SLUMDOG going home with nothing.
Posted by Floyd Thursby
at February 18, 2009 1:09 PM
comment #14
DavidF
says ...
...that reminds me of when Twin Peaks had 14 Emmy nods in its first season and won not a single one.
The second season went off the rails but looking back it's absurd it didn't win ANYTHING - these things do happen, however.
I had to Google it: TP actually won 2 for editing and costumes. McLachlan lost to Columbo (!), Piper Laurie lost to Patricia Wettig, LA Law was the best drama and there was a TIE for Best Director and neither of the winners was David Lynch!!!
Now THAT's a frickin travesty, people.
(one of the director winners was 30something and the other was some show called Equal Justice. WTF?)
Posted by DavidF
at February 18, 2009 1:33 PM
comment #15
berg
says ...
The Color Purple went 0 for 11 ... (to paraphrase Irving Stone) we're donut dunkers in the coffee of another organization's ideas
Posted by berg
at February 18, 2009 1:39 PM
comment #16
jse33
says ...
Slumdog Millionaire is a pretty good film, but it doesn't deserve the sweep that it's going to achieve on Sunday. It has won every single Guild award, plus several at the Globes and BAFTA. I have it winning 8. Picture, Director, Screenplay, Editing, Cinematography, Score, Song, and Sound Mixing. It won the Guild awards for Editing, Cinematography, and Sound. Voters are going blindly choose it for just about every category it's in. Benjamin Button, which I like much more, will be taking home 3 awards. Art Direction, Visual Effects, and Make-up. Milk gets 2, Actor and Screenplay. The Reader gets 1 for Actress. Frost/Nixon will be the only BP nominee going home empty-handed.
Posted by jse33
at February 18, 2009 1:42 PM
comment #17
lazarus
says ...
Gangs of New York was shut out and had 11, right?
Posted by lazarus
at February 18, 2009 2:07 PM
comment #18
bmcintire
says ...
If SLUMDOG weren't the type pf picture the Academy votes for, it wouldn't have been nominated. JUNO was viewed the same way, but lo and behold, there it was up for Best Picture. These are the same frigging people. It's not like a busful of replacements comes in to cast the final ballots.
Posted by bmcintire
at February 18, 2009 2:15 PM
comment #19
dukedog
says ...
I think Daniel Day Lewis won for "Gangs". I think. I have to visit imdb to be sure. I think the record for shut-outs is "The Turning Point".
Posted by dukedog
at February 18, 2009 4:02 PM
comment #20
lazarus
says ...
No, he lost to Adrien Brody, unfortunately. DDL turns in one of the all-time greatest performances but they went with the cinderella story. Brody was very good, but not better than the best working actor at the top of his game.
Posted by lazarus
at February 18, 2009 4:19 PM
comment #21
D.Z.
says ...
http://oscars.movies.yahoo.com/news/176-and-the-oscar-goes-to-matilda-if-ledger-wins?nc
Posted by D.Z.
at February 18, 2009 4:28 PM
comment #22
Jeremy Fassler
says ...
I think BENJAMIN BUTTON is this year's AVIATOR--people admire it a lot, but not enough to help it go that extra distance. SLUMDOG seems like a safe bet at this point, and Danny Boyle should win the directing Oscar if only for the shot of the boys falling off the train and growing up.
Posted by Jeremy Fassler
at February 18, 2009 5:33 PM
comment #23
byanyother
says ...
Button will win at least visual effects, but probably also art direction and costume design.
Posted by byanyother
at February 18, 2009 8:08 PM
comment #24
arturobandini2
says ...
I think this Sunday will be a good night to catch The Class.
Posted by arturobandini2
at February 18, 2009 8:11 PM
comment #25
markj
says ...
I'm mystified by the reaction to Slumdog Millionaire. It's a nicely put-together, well shot film. But that's all. I feel no urge to ever watch it again.
Posted by markj
at February 19, 2009 3:03 AM
comment #26
Howlingman
says ...
Different strokes for different folks, markj; For my part, Slumdog was the only of the nominated films I can see myself watching again.
Posted by Howlingman
at February 19, 2009 6:24 AM
comment #27
K. Bowen
says ...
I'd love to see Slumdog lose.
Posted by K. Bowen
at February 19, 2009 9:06 AM
comment #28
Yuval
says ...
Slumdog is mediocre at best, but mostly boring. Of course, one of the most boring movies of all times won the most oscars, so that isn't saying much.
Posted by Yuval
at February 19, 2009 12:15 PM
Post a comment