Posted by Jeffrey Wells on February 27, 2008 at 12:19 PM
MCN's David Poland voted for a grand total of 7 correct Oscar calls in the final Gurus of Gold chart. Out of 21 categories, that is. (MCN doesn't include doc short, live action short or animated short.) Poland also missed 4 of the top 8 categories including such no-brainers as Best Picture and Original Screenplay. He went with Tony Gilroy and Michael Clayton instead of Diablo Cody and No Country for Old Men.

This doesn't precisely fortify the legend of the Poland Curse (i.e., any Best Picture he gets behind big-time will lose) because Poland didn't push all that rigorously for Michael Clayton, or not as hard as he campaigned for Dreamgirls and Munich. But it does tend to support the idea that Poland, a major Hollywood know-it-all, has a less than sterling track record in this realm.
Pete Hammond, who got the most correct choices among the Envelope Buzzmeter crew, was first among MCN's Gurus with 16 correct calls, followed by Jack Matthews (15), Dave Karger (14), Glenn Whipp, Anne Thompson, Sean Smith, Mark Olsen (13), Susan Wloszczyna, Eugene Hernandez (12), Lou Lumenick, Sasha Stone (11), Peter Howell (10), Glenn Kenny and Scott Bowles (8).

Last updated: October 3, 2007
Obviously I'm light in several categories.
Suggestions and disputations are welcome.
BEST PICTURE: Australia (20th Century Fox), The Argentine (Focus Features), Guerilla (Focus Features), Milk (Focus Features), Seven Pounds (Sony), The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Paramount/Warner Bros.), The Soloist (DreamWorks), Body of Lies (Warner Bros.), Revolutionary Road (Paramount Vantage/DreamWorks), The Changeling (Universal Pictures), Frost/Nixon (Universal), Doubt (Miramax), Blindness (Universal Pictures), Defiance (Paramount Vantage), The Duchess (Paramount Vantage), Valkyrie (MGM-UA), The Reader (Weinstein Co.)
BEST DIRECTOR: Fernando Meirelles (Blindness), David Fincher (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button), Ron Howard (Frost/Nixon), Brian Singer (Valkyrie), Baz Luhrmann (Australia), Steven Soderbergh (The Argentine and Guerilla), Gus Van Sant (Milk), Gabriele Muccino (Seven Pounds), Joe Wright (The Soloist), Ridley Scott (Body of Lies), Sam Mendes (Revolutionary Road), Clint Eastwood (Changeling), John Patrick Shanley (Doubt), Edward Zwick (Defiance), Saul Dibb (The Duchess), Stephen Daldry (The Reader)
BEST ACTOR: Leonardo DiCaprio (Revolutionary Road), Brad Pitt (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button), Ralph Fiennes (The Duchess), Hugh Jackman (Australia), Tom Cruise (Valkyrie), Harrison Ford (Crossing Over), Sean Penn (Milk), James Franco (Pineapple Express), Philip Seymour Hoffman (Synecdoche, New York), Heath Ledger (Dark Knight), Will Smith (Seven Pounds), Jamie Foxx (The Soloist)
BEST ACTRESS: Kate Winslet (Revolutionary Road), Angelina Jolie (Changeling), Keira Knightley (The Duchess), Nicole Kidman (Australia)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Leiv Schreiber (Defiance), Frank Langella (Frost/Nixon), John Malkovich (Changeling and Burn After Reading), Bill Nighy (Valkyrie), Robert Downey Jr. (The Soloist), Robert Downey Jr. (Tropic thunder), James Franco (The Pineapple Express), Alan Alda (Nothing But the Truth)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Meryl Streep (Doubt), Amy Adams (Doubt), Vera Farmiga (Nothing But the Truth)
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: Dr. Seuss' Horton Hears a Who (20th Century Fox)
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Charlie Kaufman (Synecdoche, New York)
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Peter Straughan (How to Lose Friends and Alienate People)
SPECIAL EFFECTS: Iron Man, Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
Michelle discovers a couple of comedy films thanks to the power of Netflix.
Adam joins the Elsewhere crew from the Windy City and hits the ground running this week.
May 2
The Favor
Mister Lonely
XXY
May 9
Noise
OSS 117: Cario - Nest of Spies
May 16
The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian
Reprise
Sangre de me Sangre
May 21
May 22
Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
May 23
May 30
Bigger, Stronger, Faster
Savage Grace
Stuck
Comments
I think towards the end, when he looks back, he's going to be very proud of how much he fought for MUNICH.
Posted by: BurmaShave
at
February 27, 2008 01:06 PM
I just now correctly picked all the Oscar winners for the year 2017. A boat-load of surprises to be sure, Diablo Cody gets her 5th statue for Juno 2: Thalidomide vacation on ice!
Posted by: abuseintake
at
February 27, 2008 01:08 PM
If I had taken part in a pool this year, I probably would have gone with Tony Gilroy over Diablo Cody. I still don't believe she wrote a good screenplay.
Posted by: Aladdin Sane
at
February 27, 2008 01:13 PM
Boy, I suck.
See, that's why I always do the "should win" rather than "will win" in Oscar face-offs...
Posted by: Glenn Kenny
at
February 27, 2008 01:16 PM
He's not serious, he's on a love boat now, so I fired him.
Posted by: T. Holly
at
February 27, 2008 01:21 PM
burma - any (well-deserved) retrospective pride he might feel for pushing the absolutely masterful MUNICH is going to be utterly negated (and then some) for pushing the largely loathsome DREAMGIRLS.
either way, if he's on his deathbed thinking about his influence on the 2005 oscars... that would be unfortunate.
Posted by: Aguirre
at
February 27, 2008 01:27 PM
I got all the major categories right (unless you count Cinematography and Score as majors-- to me, they're almost on the fence). They all seemed like no-brainers to me-- and I will admit Jeff, you helped me win that stretch.
Alas, I got raped on the minor categories (never saw that Bourne wave coming), which is ironically the exact opposite of how I do in other years-- I usually miss a couple of the biggies but get all the really obscure ones right. My best friend and I spent years predicting all the unseen Best Documentaries, Shorts and Foreign films based solely on the three-second clips shown ("Always bet on the Holocaust movie!"). Sadly, that routine seems to have been a lot less useful in recent years.
Posted by: Dave
at
February 27, 2008 01:28 PM
Meoooooooow!
Posted by: gansibele
at
February 27, 2008 01:28 PM
Other than X-Formers getting robbed in VFX, wasn't there a sham in short doc?
Posted by: T. Holly
at
February 27, 2008 01:38 PM
Poland was pushing Hairspray as a viable candidate for Best Picture up until the nominations were announced. Then he switched to Clayton, which he always had as a frontrunner.
I got everything but actress.
Posted by: PastePotPete
at
February 27, 2008 02:54 PM
I guess this means we won't be getting that "I'm f---ing Dave Poland" video we've been so l---ing forward to.
Posted by: T. S. Idiot
at
February 27, 2008 05:14 PM
I have nothing to say about David Poland, largely because he panned my two favorite movies of the last decade, THERE WILL BE BLOOD and CHILDREN OF MEN. Let it be on his head!
Posted by: Rosebudsthesled
at
February 27, 2008 06:13 PM
Doesn't mean jack. Last year Poland's score beat everyone else's. He had a whopping 18. You just never know; it isn't rocket science. Brag one year that you got them all right, the next year you'll suck. Unless, of course, you're Dave Karger, who always does well.
Posted by: Zimmergirl
at
February 27, 2008 06:36 PM
Oh man rosebud, thanks for reminding me. His CHILDREN OF MEN hatred is inexcusable.
Posted by: BurmaShave
at
February 27, 2008 06:53 PM
Jeez, and I thought my 14 was an embarassing score and I don't even get paid to prognosticate like these folks do. I don't even know how someone like G.K. can get 8 out of 24. There were so many locks, it's like spelling your name right on the SAT's. I was not proud of my prognosticating performance this year but I guess when held up to the GURU's I look like a genius. Hey Poland, where's my invitation buddy? I'm just as cool as Ramin Setoodeh ya know... gulp... I hope.
Posted by: MiraJeffAICN
at
February 27, 2008 08:15 PM
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