Posted by Jeffrey Wells on February 28, 2008 at 10:14 AM
A big tracking bump for Will Ferrell's Semi-Pro since Tuesday's numbers were posted: it was previously running at a modest 67,35 and 8, but today it's running at 73, 40 and 23. The young-male first choice figure is about 30. Definitely the weekend's #1 film with an easy $25 million, and it's just another dumb Gorilla Nation sports comedy....right?
The Other Boleyn Girl was at 49, 33 and 7 on Tuesday, but it's now 56, 33 and 13 -- among women the first-choice numbers are about 20. It'll come in second right behind Ferrell. On Tuesday Penelope was running at a so-so 52, 25 and 5; today's it's up to 60, 28 and 9.
Roland Emmerich's 10,000 BC will still be the top dog on the March 7th weekend. 73, 29 and 13 two days ago, up to 75, 41 and 15 today. Much bigger numbers, of course, will show up next week.
Three 3.21 films have begun to track: Owen Wilson's Drillbit Taylor at 43, 22 and 2 (needs work), Shutter at 23, 17 and 0, and Tyler Perry's Meet the Browns at 40, 25 and 5 -- clearly the strongest of the three right now.

Last updated: October 3, 2007
Obviously I'm light in several categories.
Suggestions and disputations are welcome.
BEST PICTURE: Australia (20th Century Fox), The Argentine (Focus Features), Guerilla (Focus Features), Milk (Focus Features), Seven Pounds (Sony), The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Paramount/Warner Bros.), The Soloist (DreamWorks), Body of Lies (Warner Bros.), Revolutionary Road (Paramount Vantage/DreamWorks), The Changeling (Universal Pictures), Frost/Nixon (Universal), Doubt (Miramax), Blindness (Universal Pictures), Defiance (Paramount Vantage), The Duchess (Paramount Vantage), Valkyrie (MGM-UA), The Reader (Weinstein Co.)
BEST DIRECTOR: Fernando Meirelles (Blindness), David Fincher (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button), Ron Howard (Frost/Nixon), Brian Singer (Valkyrie), Baz Luhrmann (Australia), Steven Soderbergh (The Argentine and Guerilla), Gus Van Sant (Milk), Gabriele Muccino (Seven Pounds), Joe Wright (The Soloist), Ridley Scott (Body of Lies), Sam Mendes (Revolutionary Road), Clint Eastwood (Changeling), John Patrick Shanley (Doubt), Edward Zwick (Defiance), Saul Dibb (The Duchess), Stephen Daldry (The Reader)
BEST ACTOR: Leonardo DiCaprio (Revolutionary Road), Brad Pitt (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button), Ralph Fiennes (The Duchess), Hugh Jackman (Australia), Tom Cruise (Valkyrie), Harrison Ford (Crossing Over), Sean Penn (Milk), James Franco (Pineapple Express), Philip Seymour Hoffman (Synecdoche, New York), Heath Ledger (Dark Knight), Will Smith (Seven Pounds), Jamie Foxx (The Soloist)
BEST ACTRESS: Kate Winslet (Revolutionary Road), Angelina Jolie (Changeling), Keira Knightley (The Duchess), Nicole Kidman (Australia)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Leiv Schreiber (Defiance), Frank Langella (Frost/Nixon), John Malkovich (Changeling and Burn After Reading), Bill Nighy (Valkyrie), Robert Downey Jr. (The Soloist), Robert Downey Jr. (Tropic thunder), James Franco (The Pineapple Express), Alan Alda (Nothing But the Truth)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Meryl Streep (Doubt), Amy Adams (Doubt), Vera Farmiga (Nothing But the Truth)
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: Dr. Seuss' Horton Hears a Who (20th Century Fox)
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Charlie Kaufman (Synecdoche, New York)
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Peter Straughan (How to Lose Friends and Alienate People)
SPECIAL EFFECTS: Iron Man, Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
Michelle discovers a couple of comedy films thanks to the power of Netflix.
Adam joins the Elsewhere crew from the Windy City and hits the ground running this week.
July 2
July 3
July 4
Diminished Capacity
Gonzo: The Life and Work of Hunter S. Thompson
We are Together
July 9
July 11
August
Eight Miles High
Journey to the Center of the Earth
Roman Polanski: Wanted and Desired
July 18
A Very British Gangster
Before I Forget
Felon
Lou Reed's Berlin
Transsiberian
July 22
July 23
Comments
"By turns riotously silly and casually clever, with the occasional outburst of inspired lunacy, pic benefits from perfect-pitch comic turns by Will Arnett and Andrew Daly"
-from the Variety review of Semi Pro
Posted by: Gordie Lachance
at
February 28, 2008 11:25 AM
Keep your eye on that Will Arnett. He's still flying a bit under the radar, but the man is comedy gold.
Posted by: Rich S.
at
February 28, 2008 11:54 AM
What the hell do these numbers mean? I mean, I guess people care that it's at 73 or 23 or .76 or pi, but how does any of this translate to money or attendance?
I apologize if I'm the only person unsophisticated enough to know what these numbers mean but seriously, who effing cares? If you're going to really offer any kind of perspective of what will do well/ win the weekend, maybe give us a clue how this will actually play out critically or monetarily. Otherwise, I'm going to have to 74 my 20 and that will produce a 49 and you know stuff's bad then.
Posted by: mtgilchrist
at
February 28, 2008 12:01 PM
What the hell do these numbers mean? I mean, I guess people care that it's at 73 or 23 or .76 or pi, but how does any of this translate to money or attendance?
I apologize if I'm the only person unsophisticated enough to know what these numbers mean but seriously, who effing cares? If you're going to really offer any kind of perspective of what will do well/ win the weekend, maybe give us a clue how this will actually play out critically or monetarily. Otherwise, I'm going to have to 74 my 20 and that will produce a 49 and you know stuff's bad then.
Posted by: mtgilchrist
at
February 28, 2008 12:01 PM
Since Jeff doesn't watch TV, he missed Arrested Development, which as any fan will tell you, was the funniest show ever to be canceled.
Alas, I didn't discover it until AFTER it was canceled. Bad timing, that.
Anyway, Arnett was great in that. Hell, everybody was.
Posted by: Dave
at
February 28, 2008 12:05 PM
AD was funny the first few episodes but fell in love with its own non-sequitors. David Cross and The Blue Man thing was interminable.
Posted by: christian
at
February 28, 2008 12:08 PM
Sadly, "Semi-Pro" is second-tier Ferrell. The numbers may tell us otherwise, though. His comedy star still shines, but as Jim Carrey will tell you, it doesn't last.
Posted by: C Toto
at
February 28, 2008 12:11 PM
And that's where we can agree to disagree, Christian :-).
Posted by: Dave
at
February 28, 2008 12:23 PM
"AD was funny the first few episodes but fell in love with its own non-sequitors. David Cross and The Blue Man thing was interminable."
Wha? Huh? I mea... Seri... WHAT?
Posted by: Josh Massey
at
February 28, 2008 12:24 PM
Sorry, it was just felt forced and quirk for quirk's sake, like a tv ad. When The Blue Man group actually showed up, it was like Paul Lynde appearing on the Donny and Marie Show. No balls at all.
Posted by: christian
at
February 28, 2008 12:34 PM
mtgilchrist - if memory serves, the three numbers refer to the percentage of respondents: 1) aware of the film , 2) interested in seeing the film, and 3) making the film their 1st choice among upcoming films.
On a separate, more skeevy note - has anyone out there seen "The Other Boleyn Girl"? If so, please speak on whether or not we can expect to see Portman and/or ScarJo in some state of undress. I'm guessing the answer is no, which is why this one looks like a "pass" for me. If I'm wrong, my personal tracking numbers will see a dramatic increase.
Posted by: 115thDreamer
at
February 28, 2008 12:45 PM
Unfortunately, Christian, in the 16th century ladies wore overshirts even in the bathtub (as we learn in one of Natalie's bathing scenes). So there's a little skin here and there, but it probably won't satisfy your prurient purposes. Other than a few bare shoulders, I don't recall much exposed skin, although the ancient push-up bras certainly seemed to get a workout.
Posted by: thatmovieguy
at
February 28, 2008 01:09 PM
Uh, good to know. But I think 115thdreamer is the one dying to find out...
Posted by: christian
at
February 28, 2008 01:14 PM
115thDreamer: it's a pg-13 film so you aren't gonna see much. The new Woody Allen with ScarJo getting it on with Penelope Cruz will be more of what you're after I think...
I simply cannot believe that there is a huge desire to see The Other Boelyn Girl; the trailers are so been-there-done-that and the reviews have been mediocre at best.
Posted by: actionman
at
February 28, 2008 01:50 PM
Don't miss Arnett's hilarious cameos on 30 Rock.
Posted by: Rich S.
at
February 28, 2008 02:32 PM
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