So Roma won the top prize at the BAFTAs — terrific, hearty congrats. But the Best Picture Oscar race is still between Roma and Green Book, and the opinions of the BAFTA gang, announced two or three hours ago, probably won’t influence this either-or. Most Academy voters have made their minds up by this stage. The die is cast.
It’ll still come down to whether or not Green Book or Roma will benefit more from the preferential ballot system than the other, and that means…I don’t know what it means.
Word around the campfire, however, says Green Book might be in a better position due to a strong showing in the #2 or #3 slots, and that some voters (older, Netflix opponents, ADD) are allegedly listing Roma at the bottom of their lists so it won’t benefit from p.b. math. Or something like that.
The Favourite‘s Olivia Colman won for Best Actress, but that’s at least partly about hometown sentiment. The Wife‘s Glenn Close still has the Oscar in the bag.
Bohemian Rhapsody‘s Rami Malek won BAFTA’s Best Actor trophy — is there ANYONE betting against him winning the Best Actor Oscar at this stage?