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Gotta go with the Jeffster— you can take down the frontrunners if people really like you, like Green Book or The King’s Speech, but Power of the Dog sounds as much fun as a double bill of The Hours and House of Sand and Fog.
“House of Sand and Fog” is a laugh riot compared to “The Year of the Dog.”
I think that Power of the Dog’s Picture winner status is all Campion looking to repeat Zhao. So while splits aren’t unusual, they think this will be Nomadland 2.0 (Picture and Director win). Except that Nomadland didn’t have the likable challenger to take it out. Dog has 2.
I’d actually like her odds a lot more if Zhao hadn’t won last year. If Zhao hadn’t won and Trump were still president, I’d probably put money on her winning.
You are onto something. That said, who is the alternative? Branagh is an actor and Director’s Branch hasn’t been too keen on nominating famous actors turned directors lately (Affleck, Cooper). being an obscure actor (Fennell) is more helpful it seems. Reinaldo Marcus Green is a question mark and his movie seems more of an actors show than directors (no fancy cinematography and cuts that wow the branch). Villeneuve has the fancy down path but his movie is Part 1 and that didn’t help stronger player FOTR with the Oscars 2002. Larrain’s Spencer isn’t playing well with the industry, too arty. Anyone else?
Feels a little early to predict Richard. It hasn’t even opened yet and Big Willie isn’t exactly beloved by the industry or the internet.
OT: Clayton has just posted a new bad take – Eternals is poorly reviewed cause [woke] critics are always harsher to women-directed movies. Oh Clayton, never change.
King Richard has the Best Picture Oscar in the bag
Yeah he’ll wear this one like a Scarlet Letter.
that’s not just Jeff’s opinion. Pundits and Oscar watchers think he’s the frontrunner too. he’s been that since Telluride.
King Richard has been screening like crazy and reactions on social media have been very positive. It’s gonna be hit with the general public and less picky cinephiles.
The only thing that may hurt the film is that it takes a very sanitize approach to Richard Williams…the man in real life totally abandoned another family before he had kids with the mother of Venus and Serena. Also, Will may be an antivaxxer and his some weird stuff from his upcoming memior…
I’ve been very surprised by the reactions. I always assume that stories authorized by the family will be pablum.
When you write “not a chance in hell” for Power of the Dog it means nowhere near a legit top three?
Macbeth may well kick all of their asses, but given they did slide the Oscar to an anodyne piece of forgettable garbage like Green Book, I guess anything is possible.
Any inside info on Macbeth? I love both Shakespeare and the Coens, and thought the atmosphere in the trailer was intriguing. Are there reasons why I shouldn’t be excited, or just reasons why it won’t work as Oscar bait?
Every time I hear KING RICHARD, I’m thinking of the MACBETH film.
After seeing DUNE last week, a friend said “that trailer for OTHELLO was cool.’
Kung Fu Richard.
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