Last night some snarky Twitter guy named “Baggy Moon Rock” asked for a Best Picture prediction and for whatever reason I blurted out what I’ve been holding in for fear of getting slapped around by Cynthia Swartz. Unless it sucks or under-performs on some level, American Hustle will take the Best Picture Oscar and David O. Russell will probably win Best Director. Because of the earned-credits payback factor. Academy members are going to say to themselves, “How many times can we turn this guy down? This is the third bulls-eye in a row — The Fighter, Silver Linings Playbook and now American Hustle. He’s alpha-vibed into this new guy and we can’t tell him ‘sorry’ for a third time straight.” Unless, of course, AH doesn’t quite cut the mustard. In which case all bets are off.