At 3:30 am New York time Nikki Finke reported that Ron Howard‘s The Dilemma has, like, tanked. It did $6 million yesterday with a shot at $20 million by the end of the Martin Luther King holiday.

That’s “shockingly soft,” she says, if you compare to opening grosses of Vaughn’s Four Christmases ($31 million) and Couples Retreat ($34 million) and James’ Paul Blart: Mall Cop ($31 million) and Grown-Ups ($40 million).

Like I said on Thursday, it’s the movie and not the guys. People are smelling what this film is putting out and it’s not going down all that well — end of story.

Michel Gondry‘s The Green Hornet did around $10.5 million yesterday and is looking at $35 million by the end of the four-day weekend. That’s low, of course. The buzz is awful so what else could have happened?

Reactions to either?

Darren Aronofsky‘s Black Swan will take in just under $10 million by Monday night for an estimated cume of $73.8 million. How far can it go?