A Scott Bowles/USA Today theory by way of Entertainment Weekly‘s Dave Karger — Academy voters may be starting to get sick of the big winners thus far — doesn’t seem to actually apply except in the case of Forest Whitaker, last night’s Golden Globe Best Actor champ. The notion that IVenus contender Peter O’Toole‘s late surge could theoretically unseat him is given some weight. But Helen Mirren and Martin Scorsese (if you don’t know their categories by now…) are about as locked as they could possibly be.