David Germain‘s AP story about Brokeback Mountain fading and Crash looking more and more like it might actually take the Best Picture Oscar gets your blood going a little, but it seems to me like a Big Reach. If it happens, I know a lot of people who will scream and shout and throw things and punch the refrigerator. But not me. Brokeback is a breakthrough movie of lasting importance and impact. It’s already “won” in so many different ways that not winning the big Oscar prize won’t hurt all that much, although there will be those who will strongly disagree. A Crash win will have a bigger hand-grenade effect than Shakespeare in Love‘s taking the Best Picture trophy from Saving Private Ryan.