I’ve already lamented the almost certain absence of Woody Allen‘s Coup de Chance at Telluride ’23. The scolds and monsters will scream too loudly, and the nervous nellies don’t want any trouble.

And as I wrote on 6.28, I’m on pins and needles about whether IFC Films and Sapan Studios will have the moxie to screen Tran Anh Hung’s The Pot au Feu at Telluride — it would be a major aesthetic tragedy if this all-but=perfect film doesn’t play there.

I’m one of many who are 90% to 95% convinced that Alexander Payne‘s The Holdovers will play Telluride. It has to. It can’t be absent. Payne is too much of a longstanding Telluride attender and supporter. The contrary view is that Focus, the film’s distributor, will want to stage a 2023 Toronto Film Festival premiere during the first five days, which TIFF wouldn’t allow if The Holdovers plays Telluride first. Does anyone remember when Green Book premiered at the Toronto fest? On Tuesday, 9.11.18 — the sixth day. Not premiering during the first five didn’t hurt that Best Picture Oscar winner a bit.

Bradley Cooper‘s Maestro (Netflix) has been waiting a long time to bounce off the high board and make a big splash among the right people. Whatever happens with the Venice Film Festival, how could this Leonard Bernstein biopic not kick things off domestically in Telluride?

How could Martin Scorsese‘s Killers of the Flower Moon, which had its big bop-shu-wop premiere in Cannes several weeks ago, not go for a conversational re-start in Telluride?

Ditto Jonathan Grazer‘s The Zone of Interest, which also launched on the Cote d’Azur.

David Fincher‘s The Killer was shot between November ’21 and March ’22. It has seemingly been hanging around for ages, waiting to strike a hot iron before the 11.10 Netflix debut. Telluride, Toronto, New York…which one of these? Okay, probably not Telluride.

Ridley Scott‘s Napoleon (Apple, 11.22) somehow doesn’t quite feel like a natural Telluride pick but who knows? One way or the other the French-playing actors probably have to speak with the same accent — I’m not saying they all need to sound like Pepe le Pew, but they can’t sound like they’re from Tarzana or Burbank.

Apparent Telluride Likelies: Emerald Frennell‘s Saltburn, Justine Triet‘s Anatomy of a Fall, Todd Haynes‘ wildly overpraised May December, Craig Gillespie‘s Dumb Money (or is the 9.22 release date too close to Labor Day?), Sean Durkin‘s The Iron Claw (A24). Not to mention Sofia Coppola‘s Priscilla (A24, October), costarring one of the most extreme height-disparity couples in motion picture history — Cailee Spaeny (4’11”) and Jacob Elordi (6’5″).