It means absolutely nothing…okay, it means a little something but next to nothing, really, that seven Gold Derby “Oscarologists” — Deadline‘s Pete Hammond, Fox NewsTariq Khan, WENN’s Kevin Lewin, Yahoo MoviesMatt McDaniel, the Village Voice‘s Michael Musto and GD’s Tom O’Neil and Paul Sheehan — are intuiting that War Horse is the most likely Best Picture winner.

One of the above might have seen War Horse, maybe, but I’d rather not think about that.

11 Oscar-watching hotshots (myself among them) are standing by The Descendants, and that means something because everyone’s seen it. Eight are picking The Artist and one has chosen Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close. And that’s the way it is on Monday, November 14th, 2011.