Awards Daily‘s Sasha Stone is actually predicting (or half-predicting by way of an intuitive feeling) that Spencer‘s Kristen Stewart might be…well, a slightly more likely winner of the Best Actress Oscar race than some of us are supposing. Or so she suspects. Nobody knows anything, of course.
HE reaction: Olivia Colman won’t happen because (a) she recently won and (b) the stolen doll. Nobody’s really knocked out by Nicole Kidman’s decent performance as Lucille Ball — she’s fine but calm down. Jessica Chastain‘s Tammy Faye Bakker is…I actually don’t have any particular feeling for this good-enough performance, one way or the other. But I’m sensing meh. As for Stewart, she does a good job of playing a mad, haunted princess but Spencer itself is AWFUL.
That leaves Penelope Cruz and ONLY Penelope Cruz as the winner.
The Stewart comeback narrative (snubbed by SAG) is, I’ll admit, a narrative that the others don’t have. Also she’s youngish, hottish and gay. If she wins this would be stunning, staggering, unprecedented.
Friendo to HE: “Cruz is not winning. Zero shot. It’s between Kidman, Chastain and Stewart.”
HE to friendo: “If Cruz doesn’t win it’ll be because of sheer sloth of the part of Academy members. Too fucking lazy to pop the screener in and simply watch Parallel Mothers. Dilletantes!”