The Envelope is reporting that David Cronenberg’s A History of Violence is a possible early favorite to win the Best Picture award from the New York Film Critics Circle. “A veteran Oscar campaigner not involved with the film” says so, and so does NYFCC chairperson Thelma Adams. Adams hasn’t “snooped and made an early vote count”…oh…but she’s a big fan of A History of Violence and…what? I love the Cronenberg, but it’s not the film that Brokeback Mountain is…c’mon. And Capote is far more haunting and aromatic. And nobody’s seen The New World or Munich yet. I really don’t get it. Adams likes Violence, and she believes that the taste of the NYFCC — 85% male — skews “notor- iously gritty and guy-friendly” and…I don’t know what this means. I don’t think it means anything.