Variety‘s Ben Fritz and Dave McNary have reported that weekend’s four big openers — Elizabeth: The Golden Age, Michael Clayton, Tyler Perry’s Why Did I Get Married? and We Own the Night — “will all be released or expanded at 2,000-plus theaters and are expected to gross in the low- to mid-teens.

“Studio sources uniformly agreed that the weekend looks like a toss-up, with any of the four debuts having the potential to break out. The four bows are aiming at somewhat different auds, leading studios to hope they can co-exist peacefully.”

I’m not hearing that. One guy, anyway, is telling me Why Did I Get Married? is looking at $20 million-plus, and that the others will come in at $10 to $12 million lowball, and $12 to $14 million at best.