Day: January 27, 2007

Two fascinating panel discussions happened today at the Santa Barbara Film Festival. I recorded both with my Olympus WS-300M, which I put right smack dab on the stage, five feet in front of the panelists…and it didn’t quite work. The voices sound echo-y and a bit faint. There’s a lot of good stuff in both discussions, but you’d do well to listen with headphones. They both last over an hour.

Babel screenwriter Guillermo Arriaga and Night Buffalo co-producer Jimena Rodriguez in a backstage salon at Santa Barbara’s Lobero Theatre — Saturday, 1.27.07, 1:25 pm — prior to 2 pm screenwriter’s panel discussion

The first was “Directors on Directing”, which kicked off at 11 am. It was moderated by Peter Bart, producer and co-host of AMC’s “Sunday Morning Shootout,” with directors Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (Babel), Todd Field (Little Children), Gil Kenan (Monster House), Valerie Faris and Jonathan Dayton (Little Miss Sunshine), and John Lasseter (Cars).

Today’s “It Starts With the Script” panel — (bottom, l. to r.) Anne Thompson, Michael Arndt, Aline Brosh McKenna, Peter Morgan; (top, l. to r.) Jason Reitman, Guillermo Arriaga, Todd Field — 1.27.07, 1:55 pm

“It Stars With the Script”, a screenwriters’ panel moderated by Hollywood Reporter columnist Anne Thompson, began at 2 pm. Screenwriters Michael Arndt (Little Miss Sunshine), Guillermo Arriaga (Babel), Todd Field (Little Children), Aline Brosh McKenna (The Devil Wears Prada), Peter Morgan (The Queen/The Last King of Scotland), and Jason Reitman (Thank You For Smoking) participated.

Screenwriters Peter Morgan, Aline Brosh McKenna prior to writers’ panel discussion; (l. to r.) (l. to r.) Peter Bart, Jonathan Dayton, Valerie Faris; Director’s Panel during session; writer’s group; (l. to r.) Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Bart, Dayton; Little Children director-cowriter Todd Field

The SAG Awards will air on TNT and TBS Sunday evening. My eyelids, trust me, are at half-mast as I type these projections/assessments:

Forest Whitaker — whose performance as Idi Amin Dada was hugely enjoyable in a frightening sort of way, although I never felt it went past (i.e., deeper than) that level of engagement — will almost certainly win the Best Actor award.
Helen Mirren is oppressively locked as the winner of the Best Actress trophy, although I really and truly feel that Penelope Cruz gives a much stronger, earthier, fuller performance in Volver.
Leonardo DiCaprio (who was totally screwed by Warner Bros. marketing/publicity’s handling of his two acting award campaigns) ought to win the Best Supporting Actor award for his Departed performance hands-down, although the winner will probably be Eddie Murphy or Jackie Earl Haley.
The Best Supporting Actress race is between Dreamgirls‘ Jennifer Hudson and Little Miss Sunshine‘s Abigail Breslin, and I can’t tell if the recent LMS surge and the Dreamgirls downturn will affect the voting, but I’m /guessing presuming Hudson will eke out a victory. Maybe.
The Departed gang gets my personal vote for the SAG ensemble acting award, but the smart money is going with the Little Miss Sunshine team winning in this category, which will probably happen.

The Once word-of-mouth seems to have taken hold and distributors are finally looking to buy it. One distrib chief has confided a sincere hope that his/her company will acquire it sometime later this week, “although there are 5 other distributors circling,” he/she confided this morning.

Epic Movie will be #1 this weekend with a projected $17,368,000 by Sunday night. It wasn’t press-screened, is said to be a piece of shit and will almost certainly be over and out the door by next week or the week after. Joe Carnahan‘s Smokin’ Aces (which I don’t give a damn about seeing) will manage a decent $14,129,000 on 2200 screens, roughly $6300 a print. Night at the Museum will be #3 with $8,601,000 for a total cume of $215,900,000. (The American public likes what it likes.)
Catch and Release will end up in fourth place with $7,737,000 — 1600 theatres, 4700 a print…fair but far from encouraging. And fifth place Stomp the Yard will earn $6,980,000 this weekend.
Dreamgirls is going to attain a total cume of $85,900,000 by Sunday night, but it’s sinking and sputtering. It’ll make about $5,946,000 this weekend, for an average of $2100 a theatre. Dreamamount added about 500 theatres this weekend but it’ll be down 26% regardless. It’ll probably eke out $100 million, okay, but it’s over — they didn’t get the key nominations, they’ll be losing theatres in a week or two, and it’s all downhill from here on. They’ll be down to a $3 or $3.5 million haul next weekend.
The Pursuit of Happyness will come in seventh with $4,449,000. Pan’s Labyrinth, bolstered by six Oscar nominations, has added about 300 theatres and will do about $4,119,000. The Queen will do about $3,852,000, having added 300 theatres. The Hitcher will do about $3,375,000. Blood and Chocolate, a horror flick, will end up with $1,900,000…$1600 a theatre at 1200 theatres…forget it.

“What made me finally relax is that during one of the moments we were showing clips, [Helen Mirren] reached out for my hand and squeezed it and said I was doing a good job. Can you believe that?! At the end of the tribute, right before Bill Macy was to come out, the lights dimmed. She once again reached for my hand and squeezed it. ‘This was lovely,’ she said. ‘Once in a lifetiime, thank you.’ I looked up, and she had tears in her eyes.” — Santa Barbara Film Festival director Roger Durling, writing on his festival blog about last night’s Mirren tribute at the Arlington.

There is no Helen Mirren vs. Judi Dench suspense factor in the Best Actress Oscar race, so this Notes on a Queen mashup doesn’t really coagulate.

I’d forgotten what a moving speech Adrien Brody gave four years ago when he won the Best Actor Oscar for The Pianist. His final thought (which he has to “shush” the orchestra to finish) about the citizens, whether they worship God or Allah, who were then just starting to be wounded and killed in Iraq is especially poignant now, for obvious reasons.

Joerg Wagner‘s Motodrom, one of the coolest (because of its avant-garde simplicity and lack of pretension) shorts I saw at Sundance ’07. Many other excellent shorts are downloadable on the Sundance site, but I couldn’t find one I saw that played just before Once, about a young guy and a girl flirting on the Paris metro by underlining words in books they’re holding on their laps. Does anyone have a link to this?