Stop It Right Now!

In the first post-Globes Oscar projection chart, And The Winner Is columnist Scott Feinberg has put James Cameron‘s name at the top of his list of Best Director Oscar-nominees (and with a little electric-green arrow next to his name) because he won the Golden Globe Best Director award last night. Stop that, Scott! And all the other giddy-golly Globe rebounders — cool your jets, please.


Kathryn Bigelow, James Cameron, Scott Feinberg

The Golden Globes are a bellwether of nothing except ethereal mood and easy-lay emotionality expressed by a group of pseudo-journalist whores for the most part, so chill down and take a breather and a sip of water.

Cameron may wind up winning the Best Director Oscar as a gesture of serious respect for the visionary craft that went into Avatar as well as an expression of community gratitude (i.e., the feeling that Avatar‘s tremendous worldwide success has given the industry a shot in the arm and changed the tentpole game with 3D). The Globe win reflected this feeling, I’m presuming. It was also about fellating a huge financial success. As Ricky Gervais inferred last night, money and glamour-power have always mattered a great deal to the HFPA membership.

The bottom line is that the voters and the voting that led to Cameron winning the Best Director Golden Globe are not widely or even marginally respected. In and of itself the Cameron award meant very little, and Feinberg knows better than to suggest that Cameron has some sort of headwind now. God, that little green arrow!

The Best Director Oscar is still Kathryn Bigelow‘s to have and to hold because (a) in a very real sense she accomplished as much with The Hurt Locker as Cameron did with Avatar, having singlehandedly and against tough odds created a high-throttle hammer-punch movie with its own sense of place and identity and its own special soul, only with much less money to throw around, and (b) because history and culture demand that a woman — who happens to be a formidable kick-ass director under any sun and by the standards of either gender — should win the Best Director Oscar this year, and in so doing become the first woman to be so honored in motion-picture history.

Enough with the kneejerk kowtowing to the current Big Cheese Alpha Male director of the moment…Bwana Bwana save us Bwana…thank you for bringing so much manna into our industry. Bigelow is the real Bwana — she is the embodiment of work-it, never-say-die, get-it-done and get-it-right despite the hardships. Every talented director who has had to push it to the limit and work 19-hour days without a net knows (or suspects) what Bigelow had to do to get where she is today, and how it must feel to be right on the precipice.

The visual-aural impression of Cameron’s name having been called out last night and his delivery of a gracious thank-you speech does, I admit, pass along a sense of superficial heat to Cameron/Avatar. But the opinions of 90-something foreign journalists (some of whom barely merit the name) who belong to a weird-ass exclusive club that wasn’t, at last glance, representing a wealth of world-class publications don’t mean squat.

As Sharon Waxman wrote two years ago, “Joining [the HFPA] is nearly impossible. Qualified foreign journalists from major media outlets need not apply and, anyway, they usually don’t. The group takes five new members a year at most, and any member can veto a candidate. With attrition from deceased members and those who failed to meet the work minimum, this year no more than 82 people will choose the winning movies and TV shows.” (That number stood at 95 last year, and is today presumably in the same ballpark.)

“Compare that to the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, which has about 6,000 members,” Waxman concluded.

Indeed. And then tell Feinberg and Dave Karger and all the other ping-pong-ball prognosticators who’ve been predicting a Cameron Best Director win (Pete Hammond, Michael Musto, Ed Douglas) to settle down and use a little perspective.

Credit Where Due

Two days ago (on 1.15 at 5:54 pm) L.A. Times/”24 Frames” columnist Steven Zeitchek posted the clearest explanation I’ve read about the apparent Up In The Air acrimony between Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner. Reitman seemed to radiate a certain coolness toward Turner when they took the stage tonight to accept the Golden Globe award for screenwriting.


DVR capture of Jason Reitman after the announcement of Avatar‘s Best Picture win at the Golden Globes.

Well, That Happened!

Unable as I’ve always been to separate my feelings from my pulse-readings, I wasn’t very accurate with my Golden Globe predictions. Correct calls: Avatar for Best Picture, Sandra Bullock for Best Actress in a Drama, Jeff Bridges for Best Actor in a Drama, Meryl Streep for Best Actress in a Comedy/Musical, Mo’Nique for Best Supporting Actress, and Christoph Waltz for Best Supporting Actor.

I got everything else wrong. But everyone got Best Director wrong. It had been signed, sealed and all but delivered for Kathryn Bigelow — I mean, everyone with a shred of focus and perspective had decided this would happen — and then the HFPA, whores at the core, gave it to James Cameron because of the eye-popping grandiosity of Avatar‘s vision and box-office.

Nutters

My guess is that Robert Downey, Jr. has just won the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Comedy/Music award because he’s sharp and funny and well-liked for his amusing way of riffing on the truth. Because the idea that he gave the best performance in this realm is a joke. He got through Sherlock Holmes with a slightly wiggy deadpan attitude…fine. But hardly the stuff of tribute. Any rational body would have given the award to Michael Stuhlbarg or Matt Damon. “Art in the blood is likely to take the strangest forms,” Downey said. “The Hollywood Foreign Press is a strange bunch.”

Second Mindblower

No one with an understanding of anything would suggest that The Hangover is a better, more valuable film than (500) Days of Summer. Nobody would even dare to compare the two in conversation. And yet the HFPA has just given The Hangover its Best Comedy or Musical award. “Wow…we didn’t expect this,” said director Todd Phillips.

What…?

Avatar‘s James Cameron has just won the Golden Globe for Best Director. A shocker. The question would be “why?” when the award seemed to be Kathryn Bigelow‘s. The answer would be that the HFPA members are hugely impressed by Avatar‘s worldwide reach and sweep. “I’m not prepared ’cause I kinda thought Kathryn was gonna get this,” Cameron said, “and she deserves it.”

Onward

Martin Scorsese‘s life achievement award speech is by far the most elegant and movingly phrased. Clean, clear and very much the words of a man who is alive and hungry for bear. I love that William Faulkner quote: “The past is never dead. It is not even past.”

Distress

HE to Chloe Sevigny: If you don’t want an escort to accidentally get his foot caught on the hem of your dress and (reportedly) rip it, don’t wear a dress with a train that drags on the floor, sticking out a couple of feet. Make sense?

Equation

Because Ryan Bingham‘s “The Weary Kind” (from Crazy Heart) won the Golden Globe for Best Song, I guess it’s all the more certain that Jeff Bridges will win for Best Actor. (Not that there was much doubt about this.) I suspect that if anyone in the HFPA had even half-liked Everybody’s Fine, Paul McCartney‘s song would have won.

Tribute

The unstoppable Mo’Nique has just won the Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actress. Had to happen and it did. But in her damply emotional thank-you speech, and after thanking her husband and Lee Daniels and so on, did I not hear Mo’Nique say, “I celebrate this award with all the Preciouses, with all the Marys”?

In his thank-you speech after winning Best Actor for The Silence of the Lambs, what would the reaction have been if Anthony Hopkins had said, “I celebrate this Oscar with all the serials and cannibals out there…may they learn to heal their ways”?