Speaking purely from a know-nothing, sniffing-the-breeze spitball perspective, HE agrees that the most likely contenders for the 2022 Best Actress are (a) Respect‘s Jennifer Hudson, (b) House of Gucci‘s Lady Gaga, (c) The Eyes of Tammy Faye‘s Jessica Chastain (i.e., Most Makeup, Best Physical Transformation), (d) Spencer‘s Kristen Stewart and (e) Parallel Mothers‘ Penelope Cruz.
Everyone understands that after three Oscar wins (Fargo, Three Billboards, Nomadland) Frances McDormand has been awarded quite enough, thank you, so forget her being nominated for her Lady Macbeth performance in Joel Coen‘s The Tragedy of Macbeth, if and when some kind of groundswell manifests. I don’t see it happening. Coen’s film is allegedly problematic.
As far as Aaron Sorkin‘s Being The Ricardos is concerned, the word is that Javier Bardem‘s performance as Desi Arnaz outpoints Nicole Kidman‘s as Lucille Ball, so let’s allow nature to take its course.