Spirit Awards Will Basically Be About Birdman vs. Boyhood

The six nominations given to Alejandro G. Innaritu‘s Birdman for the 30th Film Independent Spirit Awards means it’ll probably take two or three top honors — definitely Best Actor (Michael Keaton), probably Best Feature and maybe Best Director for Inarritu, although Boyhood and its director, Richard Linklater, could nab the Best Feature and/or Best Director trophy as a split-decision gesture…who knows? Boyhood, Nightcrawler and Selma each snagged five nominations. Whiplash was also nominated for Best Feature. Ira Glass‘s Love Is Strange was nominated for Best Feature strictly as a token attaboy neck rub, strictly to round out the pack.

HE Suggestions/Predictions For Spirit Wins:

Best Feature: Birdman (suggested); Birdman or Boyhood (predicted).
Best Director: Alejandro G. Innaritu (suggested); Inarritu or Richard Linklater (predicted).
Best Screenplay: A Most Violent Year‘s J.C. Chandor or Nightcrawler‘s Dan Gilroy (suggested); ditto (predicted).

Best First FeatureDan Gilroy’s Nightcrawler (suggested); ditto (predicted)
Best First Screenplay: Justin Lader, The One I Love (suggested); Justin Simien, Dear White People (predicted).
Best Male Lead: Michael Keaton, Birdman, or Jake Gyllenhaal, Nightcrawler (suggested); Keaton (predicted); Highly Honorable Mentions: Andre Benjamin, Jimi: All Is By My Side; David Oyelowo, Selma.
Best Female Lead: Julianne Moore, Still Alice (predicted — STILL haven’t seen film).
Best Supporting Male: Edward Norton, Birdman (suggested); J.K. Simmons, Whiplash (predicted).
Best Supporting Female: Emma Stone, Birdman, or Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year (suggested); Patricia Arquette, Boyhood. (predicted).
Best Cinematography: Emmanuel Lubezki, Birdman (suggested, predicted). An up vote for Bradford Young’s A Most Violent Year cinematography, but definitely a down vote for his lensing of Selma.

I don’t know from the John Cassevetes or Best Editing nominations. Notions?