Following this morning’s Screen Actors Guild nominations, it’s looking more and more like the four Best Picture locks with the Academy are going to be Brokeback Mountain, Capote, Crash and Good Night, and Good Luck…because these four were nominated (along with the somewhat startling entry of Hustle and Flow…go Terrence Howard, Craig Brewer and Taraji P. Henson!) for the Best Ensemble Cast category — SAG’s equivalent of the Oscar for Best Picture. The likelihood factor kicks in when you consider that these same four films were nominated yesterday by the Producer’s Guild for their Daryl F. Zanuck award. I’m guessing that Walk the Line will nudge out Hustle & Flow…but who knows?