A very smart handicapper has passed along an interesting thought: the Best Picture Oscar will be won by either The Departed or Little Miss Sunshine, and the edge, right now, may be with the latter. LMS “is an ensemble piece that people just love…that’s how it was with Crash, and you have to watch out for movies that people just love.
“It was inexplicable last year but the rank-and-file really loved Crash, while some of them — obviously not all, but some — felt a grudging respect for Brokeback Mountain. Jonathan Dayton and Valerie Faris being named as Best Director nominees this morning means that people really love that film.
“If Little Miss Sunshine wins the SAG ensemble acting award plus the Golden Globe best comedy-musical award — and I’m thinking more and more that this might happen — Little Miss Sunshine will take the Best Picture Oscar.”