Last year Vanity Fair‘s John Lopez floated the idea of AMPAS’s preferential voting system possibly leading to a surprise upset in favor of Inglourious Basterds. Now he’s saying that The Social Network could pull off a surprise Best Picture win by being everyone’s No. 2 choice…or something like that.

The Social Network [being] the ‘It’ movie of the year makes it the logical No. 2 slot for everyone in the Academy who doesn’t hail The King’s Speech,” Lopez writes. “So Oscar whisperers should be sure to find out from Academy sources who their No. 2 pick is, because this year coming in second might just do the trick.”