“If there is an Argo this season, it’s Spotlight…although I personally like this film better than Argo. It is solid, hard-not-to-like, classical movie-making. Spotlight is the movie that will be there, never wavering, throughout the entire season, waiting for voters to tire of the trendy movie of various moments. Not the likely Best Picture winner, but sure to be in the Top-Five conversation until the very end. And if it wins, I will not be shocked.” — from 9.18 David Poland piece about the Telluride and Toronto winners, losers and middle-rangers.

Best Picture chart on Gold Derby, updated on 9.18.