With 14 nominations collected, La La Land obviously has the Best Picture Oscar in the bag. Damien Chazelle is all but locked for Best Director, and Emma Stone is all but assured for Best Actress…right?

HE faves: Elle‘s Isabelle Huppert for Best Actress…yes! Nocturnal AnimalsMichael Shannon among the nominees for Supporting Actor. Asghar Farhadi‘s The Salesman among Best Foreign Language Feature nominees. Hidden FiguresOctavia Spencer among Best Supporting Actress nominees!

Slight but Approved Surprise: Captain Fantastic‘s Viggo Mortensen among Best Actor nominees. Loving‘s Ruth Negga among Best Actress nominees — deserved but not entirely expected as her campaign seemed to be on a low flame throughout Phase One.

Curious Omissions: Arrival‘s Amy Adams blown off for Best Actress nomination. Florence Foster JenkinsHugh Grant shafted regarding expected Best Supporting Actor nomination; ditto Sully‘s Tom Hanks for Best Actor. What happened to 20th Century Women‘s Annette Bening?

HE Complaint: Hidden FiguresKevin Costner should have been nominated for Best Supporting Actor instead of (no offense, due respect) Lion‘s Dev Patel, whose performance struck me as somewhat cloying and dewy-eyed.

Best Picture: Arrival, Fences, Hacksaw Ridge, Hell or High Water, Hidden Figures, La La Land, Manchester by the Sea, Lion, Moonlight.

Best Actor: Manchester‘s Casey Affleck (locked), Hacksaw Ridge‘s Andrew Garfield, La La Land‘s Ryan Gosling, Captain Fantastic‘s Viggo Mortensen, FencesDenzel Washington.

Best Actress: Elle‘s Isabelle Huppert, Loving‘s Ruth Negga, Jackie‘s Natalie Portman, La La Land‘s Emma Stone (most likely winner), Florence Foster JenkinsMeryl Streep.

Best Supporting Actor: Moonlight‘s Mahershala Ali, Hell or High Water‘s Jeff Bridges, Manchester By The Sea‘s Lucas Hedges, Lion‘s Dev Patel, Nocturnal AnimalsMichael Shannon.

Best Supporting Actress: FencesViola Davis, Moonlight‘s Naomie Harris, Lion‘s Nicole Kidman, Hidden FiguresOctavia Spencer, Manchester‘s Michelle Williams.

Best Director: Arrival‘s Denis Villeneuve, Hacksaw Ridge‘s Mel Gibson (officially off the pariah list), La La Land‘s Damien Chazelle, Manchester‘s Kenneth Lonergan, Moonlight‘s Barry Jenkins.

Best Adapted Screenplay: Arrival, Fences, Hidden Figures, Lion, Moonlight.

Best Original Screenplay: Hell or High Water, La La Land, The Lobster (WHAT?), Manchester by the Sea, 20th Century Women.

Best Cinematography: Arrival, La La Land, Lion, Moonlight, Silence (Rodrigo Prieto!).

Best Documentary Feature: Fire at Sea, I Am Not Your Negro, Life Animated, OJ: Made in America, 13th.

Best Animated Feature: Kubo and the Two Strings, Moana, My Life as a Zucchini, The Red Turtle, Zootopia.

Best Animated Short: Blind Vaysha, Borrowed Time, Pear Cider and Cigarettes, Pearl, Piper.

Best Documentary Short Subject: Extremist, 4.1 Miles, Joe’s Violin, Watani My Homeland, The White Helmets.

Best Foreign Language Feature: A Man Called Ove, Land of Mine, Tanna, The Salesman, Toni Erdmann.

Best Sound Editing: Arrival, Deepwater Horizon, Hacksaw Ridge, La La Land, Sully.

Best Sound Mixing: Arrival, Hacksaw Ridge, La La Land, Rogue One, 13 Hours.

Best Production Design: Arrival, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, Hail Caesar!, La La Land, Passengers.

Best Visual Effects: Deepwater Horizon, Doctor Strange, Jungle Book, Kubo, Rogue One.

Best Original Score: Jackie, La La Land, Lion, Moonlight, Passengers.

Best Original Song: “Audition”, “Can’t Stop the Feeling”, “City of Stars”, “Empty Chair”, “How Far I’ll Go.”

Best Makeup/Hair: A Man Called Ove, Star Trek Beyond, Suicide Squad.

Best Costume Design: Allied, Fantastic Beasts, Florence Foster Jenkins, Jackie, La La Land.