Things could shift around in the Best Picture race, of course, but right now and for what it’s worth, “estimations” by Variety‘s Kris Tapley say that the following five films — The Big Sick, Darkest Hour, The Disaster Artist, Get Out and Mudbound — might not make the cut.
Or maybe one or two of them might. Who knows? Correct me if I’m wrong, but Tapley’s suggestion that these five are “on the bubble” seems to mean “watch out, homey…you might be in trouble…don’t step on any banana peels.”
Which of these “bubble’ pics has the best chance of being nominated, or is Tapley correct for the most part? Disputes, quibbles, exceptions, etc.?
Tapley’s frontrunners (listed alphabetically): Call Me by Your Name (Sony Pictures Classics), Dunkirk (Warner Bros. Pictures), The Florida Project (A24), Lady Bird (A24), The Post (20th Century Fox), The Shape of Water (Fox Searchlight), Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Fox Searchlight).