Deadline‘s Pete Hammond reminds that even though The Revenant and Mad Max: Fury Road collected 12 and 10 nominations respectively, which puts them in front of all other nominated films, their screenplays didn’t get nominated. And that, in Hammond’s view, might be cause for concern because “it’s rare for a movie to take Best Picture without a corresponding nod for its script.” The precedents are Titanic (’97), The Sound Of Music (’65), and Laurence Olivier‘s Hamlet (’48). And yet, he acknowledges, the films with the most nominations “are usually more likely to take Best Pic since it means they have more support throughout the entire Academy, which now participates in voting in all 24 categories.” Shorter Hammond: If The Revenant or Mad Max win Best Picture, which is fairly likely, it’ll constitute a statistical rarity.