In the view of Movieline‘s Stu Van Airsdale, the Best Actress contenders with the most heat at this stage are The Iron Lady‘s Meryl Streep (based on nothing), My Week With Marilyn‘s Michelle Williams (good buzz on her performance last weekend at the NY Film Festival), The Help‘s Viola Davis (whose so-to-speak candidacy drew a “meh” response from a name-brand director last weekend), Albert NobbsGlenn Close (career referendum), and We Need to Talk About Kevin‘s Tilda Swinton.

The Outsiders, Stu seems to believe, are Young Adult‘s Charlize Theron (quite conceivably), Martha Marcy‘s Elizabeth Olsen (solid debut performance but unlikely because the character is written too vaguely), The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo‘s Rooney Mara (quite possibly), Like Crazy‘s Felicity Jones (nope, movie isn’t strong enough), A Dangerous Method‘s Keira Knightley (she belongs in supporting), The Help‘s Emma Stone (nope) and Melancholia‘s Kirsten Dunst (doubt it).

Van Airsdale naturally ignores Tyrannosaur‘s Olivia Colman, even as a totally hopeless outsider type. But of course! Let me tell you something right now. The idea that Van Airsdale considers the performances by Olsen, Jones, Dunst and Stone to be worthy of solid outsider status while declining to even mention Colman is absolutely sickening. Occupy Movieline!