Slamdunks & Slummers

I just filled out my projected Top Ten Best Picture list for the Envelope Buzzmeter chart Most seem to be following an equation that includes six or seven Best Picture contenders with serious chops (Up In The Air, Invictus, An Education, A Serious Man, etc.) along with three or four slummers, which is to say films that exude a certain crowd-pleasing popcorn aroma (Avatar, District 9, Inglourious Basterds, Up).

I’m going right now with Up In The Air, The Hurt Locker, Invictus, An Education, Nine, A Serious Man, Precious, A Single Man, Avatar and Inglourious Basterds — eight real contenders and two slummers. What really matters, of course, is whether a potential Best Picture nominee has a Best Director nomination to fortify it. This is what people will be seriously weighing when push comes to shove.

Right now my Best Director projections are based only on films I’ve seen, to wit: Jason Reitman (Up In The Air), Kathryn Bigelow (The Hurt Locker), Lone Scherfig (An Education), Joel and Ethan Coen (A Serious Man) and Tom Ford (A Single Man).

I’ve seen Precious, Up and Inglourious Basterds, of course, but it still shakes down as a temporary no-go for Lee Daniels, Peter Jackson, Pete Docter, Quentin Tarantino and James Cameron…for now. If and when it appears that Invictus has the right stuff then maybe Clint Eastwood will step in and bump Ford…maybe. Or the Coen brothers…I haven’t decided yet.

Calculator’s Broken

Michael Cieply‘s financial assessment piece in today’s N.Y. Times about potential revenues from James Cameron‘s Avatar states the following:

(a) “Published reports have put the production budget at more than $230 million“;

(b) “[But] when global marketing expenses are added, Avatar may cost its various backers $500 million“;

(c) “Fox’s biggest investment in Avatar may be on the marketing side, where the company is planning to spend about $150 million around the world”;

(d) Rupert Murdoch‘s News Corporation “is carrying a much smaller share of Avatar’s production cost, as a pair of private equity partners — Dune Entertainment and Ingenious Media — pick up 60 percent of the budget”;

(e) “If domestic ticket sales reach $250 million — a level broken in the last year by five films, including Star Trek and The Hangover — Fox and its allies would appear to be headed into the black.”

I’m lost — totally lost. MCN’s David Poland posted a pretty good slice-and-dice reaction piece last night. Says what I was thinking and then some.

Imagine That

It’s almost fascinating that Universal marketing has decided to try a suggestive/arty mode for its recently revealed one-sheet campaign for Joe Johnston‘s The Wolfman (2.12.10). If Val Lewton were making werewolf movies today and designing his own posters, these are the kind of material he’d probably turn out.

All Fall Down

There’s a paywall up on the Newsday site, but Lewis Beale has written a piece about apocalyptic movies called “2012 and The Road lead doom boom on screen.” And the only thing wrong with it is that — huh? — Beale and his editors chose to ignore the real-life gloom-and-doom doc that film cognoscenti are all over right now — i.e., Chris Smith‘s Collapse.

Beale says he hasn’t seen Collapse and that it was never mentioned in conversations with his editors, but if it had been the dialogue would have probably sounded something like this:

Beale: “Uhh, there’s this other thing, this doc called Collapse that…uhhm, pretty much explains how we’re all fucked and the whole system is doomed to stop functioning due to oil shortages.”

Editor: “Is this one of those wake-up, love-the-earth movies? Don’t they show enough of those on PBS and the Nature Channel?”

Beale: “No, it’s not one of those. It’s an intellectual, cold-facts horror film…kind of a thinking man’s 2012.”

Editor: “Well, we don’t want to get into that. Too real. We’re selling newspapers to mom and pop and Uncle Freddy. People who just want to eat popcorn and watch movies that…whatever, make ’em laugh and show stuff getting blown up.”

Here’s Beale’s piece, in any event:

The Road opens with the sound of explosions and the vision of a fire that obliterates the sky. Is it a nuclear holocaust? Planet-wide environmental disaster? Rogue comet?

“The thing about the post-apocalyptic wasteland in the film, which opens Nov. 25th, is that whatever turned Earth into a pestilential wasteland is never really specified. So as a father and son (played by Viggo Mortensen and newcomer Kodi Smit-McPhee) make their way across a bombed-out landscape, trying to avoid cannibals, thieves and other sub-human life forms, The Road mirrors the concerns of the Pulitzer Prize-winning Cormac McCarthy novel on which it is based: what is important isn’t why things happened, but what happens afterward. And how the bond between a father and son can triumph over adversity.

“An extreme environment like the one in the movie ‘is a projection of our worst fears,’ says The Road director John Hillcoat. ‘In a way, as individuals we face that day when we have to leave this world, and it’s a projection of that fear on a global scale. It also brings out the best and worst in humans. How do you hang onto humanity?’

The Road is not the only film to ask this question. In fact, apocalyptic fantasies seem to be all the rage these days. The animated feature 9, released last summer, is about a group of automatons dealing with an Earth in which humans have died off. 2012, opening Friday, is a cosmic disaster flick based on Mayan prophecy which alleges the world will end on Dec. 21, 2012. And The Book of Eli, opening in January, stars Denzel Washington as a hero who carries a book that could save a post-apocalyptic society.

“This fascination with total destruction is because ‘we’re all prophets of doom,’ says James Berger, author of After The End: Representations of Post-Apocalypse. ‘In part, it has to do with our relation to our mortality,’ he adds. ‘There is also this total critique of the world as it is, the corruption of society is so tremendous, it can’t be reformed. There is the perverse pleasure of seeing it go down. It’s done, it’s cooked, stick a fork in it.’

“These films are about ‘our lack of control over our own destiny — our fear that larger forces are at work that we know nothing about or that we have no say in,’ adds critic Marshall Fine of HollywoodandFine.com. ‘It’s the issue of control — that we want it and, for whatever reason, suddenly find out we don’t have it.’

“Not that this is anything new. The concept of the apocalypse has been with us since Biblical times — the Book of Revelations, anyone? — but really picked up speed beginning in the late 19th century, when writers like H.G. Wells began to explore the negative consequences of the industrial revolution. Then World War I, with its mass slaughter, only made these fears more palpable.

“‘The advent of new military technologies [during the conflict] made war brutal and grotesque in new and overwhelming ways,’ says Berger. ‘It was hugely destabilizing.’

“But then came the nuclear age, and the idea of total global destruction became a reality. Add in environmental, biological and terrorism-related concerns, and you get the perfect cocktail of paranoid, or maybe not so paranoid, fears.

“‘You don’t have to be a scientist to know that if we don’t change our ways, the end of the world is here,’ says Harald Kloser, co-writer and producer of 2012. ‘The end of the world is not a fiction if we don’t change real soon. And the question is, have we passed the point of no return.’

“Hollywood, never afraid to plug into the zeitgeist, picked up on the End Times mentality pretty quickly. The 1936 film Things To Come, written by Wells, pictures a pre-nuclear world destroyed by a catastrophic war. Pictures like Panic In Year Zero (1962) and On the Beach (1959) dealt with the aftermath of nuclear terror. Silent Running (1971) and The Omega Man (1971 — remade in 2007 as I Am Legend) channeled environmental and biological fears. And The Road Warrior (1981), probably the best of the end-of-the-world films, dealt with nuclear war, political paralysis and a post-apocalyptic fight over resources (in this case, oil) that seemed all too real.

“‘There’s always something that’s scaring people, which can be used as an overlay on movies with a disaster or threat at their center,’ says Fine. “Communism, nuclear war, terrorism, global warming — there are plenty of things that have or will make us worry about the world coming to an end that movies can exploit to make a buck.’

“If anything, The Road takes this genre and gives it a new twist, since it is so intimate and character driven.

“In fact, Hillcoat says two non-apocalyptic movies served as a sort of template for the film: the 1948 Italian film Bicycle Thieves, about a desperate father searching for the stolen bike that is his source of income, because ‘[the father and son lead characters] are starving and trying to survive, and the father’s morals start to slide’; and the 1940 feature The Grapes of Wrath, in which farmers are driven from Oklahoma by drought, since it involves ‘a complete sort of breakdown, and the people are on the road, and there are apocalyptic overtones.’

“No matter what the source material they refer to, however, it seems apocalyptic films are not going away. And that’s because the fears they plug into will always be with us — especially in a post-9/11 world.”

“There is an undercurrent of the possibility of an apocalypse happening that makes these movies go deep emotionally,” says Kloser. “That’s why people are drawn to destruction. It connects them with their deepest inner fear.”

Good Vibe

I’m proud and pleased to announce that I’ve been officially welcomed into the fold of the Broadcast Film Critics Association. This’ll be great as far as time screening invites and receiving screeners are concerned, and of course it’s a nice thrill to be honored with a membership in the first place.

Ansen Calling LAFF Shots

Longtime Newsweek film critic David Ansen has joined Film Independent as artistic director of the organization’s 2010 Los Angeles Film Festival, it was announced an hour or so ago. Senior programmer Doug Jones has also been promoted to associate director of programming. The festival will run from 6.17 through 6.27. I did a quick phoner with Ansen around 2:45 pm today; will post something later tonight or tomorrow morning.


Newsweek critic and just-announced LAFF artistic director David Ansen.

The Pinch

Last weekend Time‘s Erin Davies delivered a fairly thorough (read: depressing) summary of the hard economic times plaguing the independent film industry, including a blind quote from an “industry executive” that “very few people think Focus Features is going to survive.” All the bummer statistics are presented, and all of it explaining why ads are a little harder to come by, and/or require a lot more in the way of begging and cajoling.

Ultimate GWTW Upgrade

“There are moments” when Warner Home Video’s new Gone With The Wind Bluray “simply looks ‘better’ than the previous DVDs,” says DVD Beaver’s Gary Tooze, “and then there are times when it makes you gasp. Most notable may be the colors — flesh tones are warm at times but lose that yellow-orangey look of the SD transfers. Detail advances to as high a degree as we are likely to see for this 70-year old classic.”

The GWTW Bluray streets on 11.17. I haven’t received a copy myself but then again I’m at a new Brooklyn address.

“Whites are whiter (no longer creamy), blacks are pitch and the dual-layered, 44 Gig transfer of this almost four-hour film shares the disc with only the Rudy Behlmer commentary and some extensive foreign language dubs and subtitle options.

Gone With the Wind‘s enormity is half the experience and it’s big here — very BIG. Contrast and lighting visuals have some jaw-dropping moments and I can’t imagine it looking any better for your home theater enjoyment. There is less grain that I would have thought but I don’t feel there was an over-abundance of digital manipulation, and it is smooth in motion.”

Tooze doesn’t mention that his screen-grab comparisons indicate that the Bluray offers slightly more picture information on the sides than the previous standard DVD issue of this 1939 mega-classic. Look closely and you’ll see extra info on both the left and right sides of the Bluray captures.

It can’t be overstated that while Gone With The Wind is nominally about the agonies caused by the Civil War in the 1860s and the deprivations of Reconstruction from 1865 through the late 1870s, it is at heart a portrait of the sufferings Americans went through during the Great Depression of the 1930s. Which links to today, in a sense, in that most Americans are grappling with the bite of the Great Recession, despite recent cheering by the elite Wall Street crowd that the hard times are pretty much over. For them, maybe.

Messenger Guys

I saw Oren Moverman‘s The Messenger last July. I went with the menu, respected the chops and intent, found Samantha Morton‘s performance as a bereaved Iraq War widow especially moving. (So far the film has a 100% Rotten Tomatoes rating.) Last night I attended the after-party at 1Oak following the Manhattan premiere. The Oscilloscope release opens this Friday.


The Messenger costars Ben Foster, Woody Harrelson at 1Oak — Sunday, 11.8, 10:10 pm.

I spoke to Woody Harrelson briefly about that Sunset Strip oxygen bar he owned/ran about eight or nine years ago. We could have gotten into loads of other topics but the loudness of the party and the three or four people hovering nearby, waiting for the slightest opening (i.e., a perceived lull in the conversation) as a opportunity to dive in and say hi to Woody…but that’s human nature, and what these parties are like every time.

I was a bit hesitant about speaking with Foster because his Messenger performance is, for me, a slight hiccup. There’s something inwardly clenched and raging in Foster that won’t let up. Even when he’s smiling and being gentle as he’s looking at Samantha Morton, you half-think he’s got plastic explosive strapped to his chest and he’s about to pull the string. He’s a serious actor trying to be real and plain, and I understand that he’s trying to suppress the wired-nutbag thing in The Messenger. But it comes out anyway.

The upside, of course, is that he’s got this quality as a kind of signature, which every actor needs. So it’s better, really, to be “Ben Foster” in this sense than to be one of hundreds or thousands of likable edgeless actors just looking for work. He’s definitely a brand and a personality. I have this inkling that he’d be great in a comedy.

The Messenger “joins the group of strong Iraq-war movies that, like rejected suitors, stand hat in hand, waiting for an audience to notice their virtues,” writes New Yorker critic David Denby. “My canon includes In the Valley of Elah, The Hurt Locker and the commercially conceived but affecting Stop-Loss. Box-office wisdom holds that it’s too early to make movies about this conflict, but how can it ever be too early to make a good movie?”

Reds

In an acknowledgement of the 20-year anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall, which heralded the end of the extended and aggravated U.S.-Soviet Union tensions generally referred to as the Cold War, L.A. Times critic Betsy Sharkey has listed her favorite films which reflected that era and mindset. But she misdescribes one seminal 1950s-era monster movie, and overlooks the bulls-eye capturing of American fears of Communist invasion and subversion in the finale of another ’50s monster flick.

In other words, Sharkey calls Don Siegel‘s Invasion of the Body Snatchers (1956) a fear-of-aliens movie when the common interpretation is that the film is a metaphor about encroaching 1950s conformity — about the horror of submitting to the bland uniformity of Eisenhower-era values and attitudes.

And no review of Cold War movies is complete without acknowledging how concisely and comprehensively the last ten or twelve seconds of Howard Hawks‘ and Christian Nyby‘s The Thing From Another World (1951) says it all. “Watch the skies…keep looking, keep watching the skies” is a kind of rough haiku that sums up what all middle-class Americans were vaguely thinking or reacting to on a subconscious level during the height of early ’50s paranoia about “them.”

(Apologies for the ghastly visual quality of the clip.)