To what extent are Academy members hanging on the opinions of the London Critics Circle Film Awards? If they’re seriously in doubt about which Fox Searchlight film, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri or The Shape of Water, should win the Best Picture Oscar then perhaps today’s LFCC decision will tip things toward Three Billboards. Maybe.

Martin McDonagh’s drama won a triple crown in London tonight, nabbing prizes for film of the year, actress of the year (Frances McDormand) and scriptwriter of the year (i.e., himself).

Call Me By Your Name‘s Timothee Chalamet was named actor of the year, The Florida Project‘s Sean Baker won the director of the year trophy, and poor, pushed-aside Dunkirk was honored as the British/Irish film of the year.