Mulligan vs. Davis Crossed-Fingers Factor

“It’s not enough to succeed — one’s friends must fail.” — Somerset Maugham.

By the same token it’s vaguely or mildly satisfying to correctly predict Oscar winners, yes, but the real joy (or my real joy) comes from knowing that certain Oscar prognosticators or advocates got it wrong.

Like when Green Book won the Best Picture Oscar — a nice, emotionally poignant film about a parent-child relationship on the road had triumphed, fine, but the joy was in knowing that the Green Book haters (including Ingkoo Kang and Guy Lodge and the Indiewire wokesters) had been told by an Academy plurality to go fuck themselves.

The only Oscar moment that will deliver any kind of real suspense tonight is the Best Actress face-off between Viola Davis and Carey Mulligan.**

The bottom line is commonly understand all around: this is not a good year to be a white Oscar nominee, and so Viola, whose performance in Ma Rainey was, is and always will be a chore to sit through, probably has it in the bag. Unless Frances McDormand takes it, and that, no offense, will be a totally deflating “oh, God” moment if there ever was one.

But I’m hoping and praying for a Mulligan upset, not just because she and Emerald Fennell caught some kind of bottled lightning with the chilly but hardcore Promising Young Woman, and not just because I’ve been a Mulligan fan since I first saw her in An Education in January ’09, but also because — it almost makes me giddy to think about this — Variety‘s Clayton Davis has totally written Mulligan off.

So if Mulligan wins, great. But the real ecstasy will come from imagining the look on Clayton Davis’s face when and if Mulligan’s name is announced. I know it probably won’t happen, but a little voice in my chest is going “please please please please please.”

** Yes, I 100% concur that Andra Day gave the richest, most-lived-in lead-actress performance but it’s not in the cards for her, largely because The United States vs, Billie Holiday is no one’s idea of a good film.

Dowd Morsels

Approximately 25% of “Crushed Dream Factory,” a 4.24 N.Y. Times column by Maureen Dowd:

“People are talking about the Oscars this year.

“Namely, how they won’t be watching. A lot of people don’t even realize the show, once an edge-of-your-seat American institution, is Sunday.

“Movie stars don’t exist anymore. Movies have been swallowed by TV and streaming. The theaters are on life support; even the ArcLight on Sunset Boulevard, one of the most beloved movie palaces in a town full of cinephiles, could not be saved.

Norma Desmond’s everlasting declaration — ‘It’s the pictures that got small!’ — has never seemed more true.

“Sex, glamour, excitement and mystery are relics of a bygone era. Hollywood is now focused on worthy, relevant, socially conscious and lugubrious” — i.e., woke stuff.

“As a Hollywood writer friend of mine said after she watched Nomadland: ‘That was not entertainment. That was Frances McDormand having explosive diarrhea in a plastic bucket on a van.'”

“Another Round” Disappoints

I have to be honest: I didn’t love Thomas Vinterberg‘s Another Round.

I actually found it a tad boring. All those 40ish Danish guys sitting around getting gently bombed by candlelight. Yes, life can feel looser and “happier” and goofier when you’re drinking over dinner and in the evenings. I did that for decades, and I know all about rollicking good times followed by morning hangovers. But from a cinematic perspective I was quickly fed up by all those shots of guys raising their glasses, raising their glasses, etc. There’s more to life than sipping fucking alcohol all the time.

And the story….what was that? Better to be a jovial drinker like Roosevelt and Churchill, says Mads Mikkelsen‘s “Martin”, than a non-drinking mass murderer like Adolf Hitler. So he decides that living a life half-buzzed or seriously buzzed is a very pleasurable way to go. Until he descends into sloppy, bleary-eyed alcoholism, etc. Speaking as a nine-years-sober person, I just couldn’t sink into it.

Variety‘s Owen Gleiberman is another naysayer.

Gradual Adieu to Warner Archive Blurays

Posted yesterday (4.23) by VulcanReporter: Warner Bros. plans to gradually shut down its physical media production department. [An assortment of] Warner Bros-produced films and TV series will still receive Bluray and DVD releases, although they won’t be produced by WB itself.

The Warner Archive Collection brand, which focuses on classic titles, is heretofore on a death watch.

Any way you slice it physical media is getting the heave-ho in favor of HBO Max.

Refusing to Plunge Daggers

For their failure to publicly trash producer Scott Rudin and wash their hands of him a la Michael Chabon, N.Y. Times reporters Michael Paulson and Cara Buckley have outed several name-brand creators and performers who’ve worked with the notorious producer.

They are Denzel Washington, Laurie Metcalf and Jennifer Lawrence; directors Wes Anderson, the Coen brothers, Noah Baumbach, Greta Gerwig and Alex Garland; writers Aaron Sorkin and Lucas Hnath; and producer Amy Pascal.

The implication (and please correct me if I’m reading this wrong) is that the Times disapproves of their silence. (The boldfaced subhead reads “In an era of outspokenness, many artists remain silent.”) Another interpretation is that these artists believe that despite their presumed disapproval of Rudin’s behavior with subordinates, they feel it’s bad form to stick the knife in or otherwise dismiss a creatively respected collaborator.

They’re all probably on the same page as billionaire Broadway financiers Barry Diller and David Geffen, both of whom spoke to the Times.

Diller: “I don’t condone, nor am I an apologist for, actions relating to his work in his personal office, [although] separate and special consideration” should be given “to his work outside of that office.”

Geffen: Rudin has “a psychological problem that he needs to deal with if he’s going to work in the future. If his behavior doesn’t change [then working with him in the future] would be an easy no, [although] I don’t think a death sentence is called for if he gets the help he needs and his behavior changes.”

Will Biden Run Again in ’24?

Maher: “A funny thing happened on the way to the old-age home. Biden slayed the Orange Dragon, and is now spearheading the most transformative administration since FDR. With an approval rating of 59%. Biden upped his game. He got better at age 78. What a mind-blowing concept [to] the younger generation for whom writing someone off because of their age is the last acceptable prejudice. They hate every -ism except ageism. It’s completely forbidden to tell any joke about race, gender, religion, weight…but age? Have at it.”

Guess The Movie

“What a steaming cauldron of New Jersey-ness…a stew of delusion, bad taste, poor behavior, deception, pretentiousness, hunger, greed, longing, love, desire, hoped-for identity, community…what a ’70s thrash-around!” — from a piece I wrote within the last decade.

“Conjuring” Franchise Made Them Do It

Conjuring paycheck whores, back for more.

Time to re-invest in the ongoing saga of Ed and Lorraine Warren, who have both passed away in actuality. The Nun, Annabelle: Creation, Annabelle, The Conjuring, Annabelle Comes Home, The Curse of La Llorona, The Conjuring 2, The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It…people keep paying and paying, the Conjuring players keep investing their money wisely, etc.

Patrick Wilson and Vera Farmiga show up, hit their marks, say their lines and people pay. So they do another one and people pay, etc.

The Conjuring Universe franchise “has grossed a combined $1.9 billion against a combined budget of $139.5 million, becoming the second highest-grossing horror franchise ever behind Godzilla.” I’m presuming that Wilson and Farmiga have serious points.

The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It pops on 6.4.21.

Victim Card

Posted on 2.1.21: The tone of Mariem Pérez Riera‘s Rita Moreno: Just a Girl Who Decided to Go for It is very “go, Rita… we love and cherish you”, etc. Which is great — it’s what every positive-minded doc about a long-haul, never-say-die actress should be like.

But it also plays the victim card over and over. It ignores the way things were when Moreno was coming up in the ’50s, and it tips in the direction of instructional 21st Century progressive feminism. It’s totally infused with “presentism” — judging the past by present-day standards.

It’s not about how Moreno’s life unfolded on a moment-to-moment basis when she was coming up and making her name and building her career, but about how badly she was treated and what assholes the various men were. Which they WERE, of course, but the ’50s were not a time of enlightenment as far as recognizing the full value of women in any realm was concerned. Moreno had a tough time because of that.

Yes, the film industry was sexist, exploitive, insensitive…unable or unwilling to see Moreno as a unique Latina with her own identity and contours. Yes, it was a bad place in many respects, but then again she was close to the top of the industry in the ‘50s.

How many dozens or hundreds of other Latina actress dancers were hungry to be cast in the roles that she landed? How many others were as talented? Or making as much money? (There was a reason that she got the Anita role in West Side Story rather than Chita Rivera, who played the spitfire character on Broadway.) How many Puerto Rican-born actresses were hanging out with Marlon Brando in the ’50s and early ’60s and running in that heavy company? Or attending the 1963 Civil Rights March? And having a side affair with Elvis Presley and rubbing shoulders with almost everyone who mattered back them?

Yes, she really got going as a stage and character actress in the ‘60s, ‘70s and beyond. Yes, she was on The Electric Company and Sesame Street and Oz. Yes, she’s costarring in the Norman Lear reboot of One Day At A Time, etc.

It’s a bit curious, by the way, that Riera has decided to ignore Moreno’s big scene with Jack Nicholson at the end of Mike NicholsCarnal Knowledge (’71). It’s one of her hallmark moments, and yet Riera dismisses it because…you tell me. She also ignores Moreno’s Presley affair, which was basically about making Brando jealous.

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Amoeba 2

Last night I finally got around to visiting the new Amoeba store at the corner of Hollywood Blvd. and Argyle (6200 Hollywood Blvd.). My last visit to the previous store (6400 Sunset) was sometime in February 2020, and I guess I wanted to say “hello again” to those old retail vibes. I thought it might get my blood going on some level.

I went straight to the Bluray section, of course, and discovered that their total inventory is but a small fraction of what they used to offer. Worse, DVDs and Blurays are mixed together in the shelves. I was close to tears.

I suddenly felt sorry for the place, and decided on the spur to buy something in order to help out. Then it hit me — the Help! Bluray! I’d seen this 55 year-old film exactly once, and for good reasons. But it’s been decades, I told myself, and it’s never been streamed, and I’d read that the disc reps a nice restoration effort so what the hell. But what a disappointment.

I’d forgotten how boring it is. Not for a single moment is the absurd premise — the inability of Ringo Starr to remove a huge valuable ring from his left-hand ring finger, and the inability of some “funny” Kali-worshipping fanatics to forcibly remove it — the least bit involving, much less amusing. Joke after joke and physical gag after physical gag just lie there. I watched it open-mouthed — “Jeez, this isn’t just weak…it’s partly awful.”

John Lennon‘s snide improvs (particularly some brief banter between he and a high government official played by Patrick Cargill) and the song sequences are the only things that work. Okay, I also like the bit in which a gnome-ish, Chico Marx-like gardener is shown to be living with the lads inside their spacious four-door condo, and who even steps in as a flute player during a performance of “You’ve Got To Hide Your Love Away.”

The Beeyattles were reportedly high during filming, but it doesn’t feel like a stoner movie. Imagine if the marijuana-for-breakfast thing had been deployed in some capacity — that at least would’ve delivered something or other. What a waste. They should have gone with the Joe Orton script.

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